2016 MEN’S NCAA CHAMPIONSHIPS
- Wednesday, March 23 – Saturday, March 26
- McAuley Aquatic Center – Atlanta, GA
- Prelims 10AM/Finals 6PM (Eastern Time)
- Defending Champion: Texas (results)
- Championship Central
- Live stream: Wednesday/Thursday prelins & finals, Friday/Saturday prelims / Friday/Saturday finals on ESPN3
- Live results
After a big morning, California projects to score 62 more points than their seeds would have by the end of day 2, but the top three programs are all outscoring their original projections.
Cal is at +62 in comparing their projected psych sheet scores to this point to the combination of last night’s 800 free relay results and the projected points from this morning’s prelims session.
Texas doesn’t have a ton of reason to worry, though – they’re actually +5 in that measure despite defending 500 free champ Clark Smith dropping from 1st in that event (20 points) to outside the A and B finals (for zero total points).
NC State is also up – despite moving down in the 800 free relay (a -6 for the day), they sit at +11.
Keep in mind: these projections do not include diving.
Thanks to Price Fishback for running the numbers on projected psych sheet scoring.
|Day 1||Day 2||Days 1-2|
|Psych Sheet Projection||Actual Score||+/-||Psych Sheet Projection||Post-prelims Projections||+/-||Total +/-|
For the sake of brevity, we’ve focused in on the top 10 teams in this chart. SEC powers Auburn and Florida are taking a bit of a tumble, while Texas, Cal and NC State have started to pull away.
Based on Commit Swimming’s scoring projections, here’s where each team is projected to finish the meet on Saturday night, taking into account last night’s 800 free relay and this morning’s prelims:
Projected Final Scores (not including diving):
- Texas – 421
- NC State – 385
- California – 340
- Florida – 297
- Auburn – 245
- Michigan – 207
- Indiana – 198
- Georgia – 185
- Alabama – 174
- Louisville – 159