2016 Women’s NCAA Updated Team Score Predictions: Day 4 Finals

2016 WOMEN’S NCAA CHAMPIONSHIPS

With another big morning session, the Georgia Bulldogs put themselves in position to capture the NCAA team title tonight in Atlanta.  Kylie Stewart and Olivia Smoliga moved up substantially in their respective individual events to give the Bulldogs a 10.5-point edge over Stanford.  The Cardinal had a bit of a disappointing morning session in the pool with both Ally Howe and Janet Hu getting stuck in consols in the 200 backstroke, but bounced back in diving (no pun intended) with a 2-3 finish.

Heading into tonight, here are the keys for each team:

Georgia:

  • Olivia Smoliga staying ahead of Lia Neal in the 100 free (holding even on points from this morning)
  • Top five finishes from Megan Kingsley and Hali Flickinger in the 200 fly (slight gain in points from this morning)
  • Top three finish in the 400 free relay (holding even from this morning)

Stanford:

  • Lia Neal needs to win the 100 free (6-point swing with Georgia)
  • Janet Hu and Ally Howe need to 1-2 or 1-3 in consols of the 200 back (5-6 point gain from seeds)
  • Win the 400 free relay (6-point gain from seeds)
  • Hold steady in diving

The biggest movers on the session:

  • Trending up:
    • Georgia Bulldogs: +29.5 points
    • Texas A&M Aggies: +24
    • USC Trojans: +17
    • Indiana Hoosiers: +15
    • Penn State Nittany Lions: +10
  • Trending down:
    • Stanford Cardinal: -16.5 points
    • Virginia Cavaliers: -15
    • UNC Tar Heels: – 13
    • Texas Longhorns: -10
    • LSU Tigers: -10

Below is a full scoring update coming out of the Saturday preliminary session, including platform diving prelims.  We’ve also included each teams’ psych sheet scoring to better represent how each particular team is performing relative to their seeds.  The final column shows–if seedings hold tonight–what each team’s new projected final score would be.

Teams Score thru Friday Sat. seeds Sat. prelims Sat. difference Sat. diving Psych final score Updated predicted final
Georgia 285 91.5 121 29.5 0 280 406
Stanford 265 114 97.5 -16.5 33 375 395.5
California 267.5 109 100 -9 0 398 367.5
Texas A&M 201.5 65.5 89.5 24 7 261.5 298
Virginia 196 89 74 -15 0 313 270
USC 156.5 84 101 17 0 264.33 257.5
Indiana 153 55 70 15 0 190 223
Louisville 176 42 46 4 0 227 222
NC State 95 65 58 -7 0 192 153
Michigan 74 68 59 -9 0 156.5 133
Missouri 106 14 11.5 -2.5 13 63 130.5
Arizona 106 14 17 3 0 81.33 123
Tennessee 79 38 36 -2 0 158.33 115
Ohio St 69 27 18 -9 0 94 87
Florida 35.5 44 40 -4 0 66 75.5
Texas 53 31 21 -10 0 142 74
UNC 47 25 12 -13 9 71 68
UCLA 66 8 0 -8 1 20 67
Minnesota 33 2 2 0 31 4 66
Nevada 49 0 0 0 2 0 51
Purdue 32 18 14 -4 0 39 46
Wisconsin 33 4 7 3 0 10 40
Kentucky 20 13 20 7 0 14 40
Miami (Ohio) 33 0 0 0 0 0 33
Penn St 13 5 15 10 0 6 28
Virginia Tech 6 10 19 9 0 20 25
South Carolina 17 0 0 0 4 0 21
Alabama 20 2 0 -2 0 14 20
UMBC 2 17 16.5 -0.5 0 17 18.5
LSU 3 11 1 -10 14 15 18
Auburn 10 0 5 5 0 7 15
Arizona St 0 0 0 0 15 0 15
Air Force 4 9 9 0 0 9 13
Harvard 0 0 0 0 12 0 12
Kansas 11 0 0 0 0 0 11
Northwestern 0 0 0 0 11 0 11
Denver 10 3 0 -3 0 3 10
Iowa 9 0 0 0 0 9 9
Nebraska 7 0 0 0 0 0 7
SMU 6 0 0 0 0 6 6
Miami (FL) 6 0 0 0 0 0 6
Hawaii 4 0 0 0 0 0 4
Pittsburgh 4 0 0 0 0 0 4
Cincinnati 0 0 4 4 0 12 4
EMU 3 0 0 0 0 3 3
Wyoming 0 0 0 0 3 0 3
Rutgers 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
FGCU 1 0 0 0 0 3 1
Oregon St 0 1 1 0 0 1 1
Boise St 0 6 0 -6 0 20 0

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1 Comment on "2016 Women’s NCAA Updated Team Score Predictions: Day 4 Finals"

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Looks like Georgia has all but wrapped this up if they keep swimming as consistently as they have all meet.

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About Morgan Priestley

Morgan Priestley

A recent graduate of Stanford University and Birmingham, Michigan native, Morgan Priestley started writing for SwimSwam in February 2013 on a whim, and is loving that his tendency to follow and over-analyze swim results can finally be put to good use. Morgan swam competitively for 15+ years, primarily excelling in the …

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