2016 Women’s NCAA Updated Team Score Predictions: Day 3 Finals

2016 WOMEN’S NCAA CHAMPIONSHIPS

Following the Friday morning preliminary sessions, Cal, Georgia, and Stanford look to be locked in a three-team battle for the NCAA team title.  With their DQ in last night’s 200 free relay, the Cardinal looked like they may be out of the mix, but a solid morning session and some big diving points from Gracia Leydon-Mahoney have put them right back in the thick of it.  Georgia was not as sharp as yesterday morning, but still gained 16.5 points on their seeds, and grabbed a couple of key 8th and 16th place finishes.  Cal, meanwhile, slipped another 9.5 points from their seeds this morning.

Overall, based on results from this morning (including 3m diving prelims) and psych sheets for tomorrow, Cal holds a 0.5-point edge over Stanford, with Georgia nipping at their heels.  Stay tuned throughout tonight and tomorrow; it’s going to be a barn-burner in Atlanta (no historical pun intended).

Missouri made the biggest move this morning behind great swims from their backstrokers and their 200 medley relay.  USC fell essentially across the board, dropping 39 points from their seeds.

The biggest movers on the session:

  • Trending up:
    • Missouri Tigers: +34 points
    • Georgia Bulldogs: +16.5
    • Minnesota Gophers: +15
    • Wisconsin Badgers: +12
    • Kansas Jayhawks: +11
    • Indiana Hoosiers: +11
  • Trending down:
    • USC Trojans: -39 points
    • NC State Wolfpack: -24
    • Virginia Cavaliers: -24
    • Texas A&M: -17.5
    • Texas Longhorns: -10
    • UNC Tar Heels: -10

Below is a full scoring update coming out of the Friday preliminary session, including 3m diving prelims.  We’ve also included each teams’ psych sheet scoring to better represent how each particular team is performing relative to their seeds.  The final column shows–if seedings hold tonight–what each team’s new projected final score would be.

Teams Score thru Thursday Fri. seeds Fri. prelims results Fri. difference Fri. diving Sat. Psych sheet Psych final score Updated predicted final
California 144.5 132 122.5 -9.5 0 109 398 376
Stanford 110 135 139.5 4.5 12 114 375 375.5
Georgia 174 78.5 95 16.5 7 91.5 280 367.5
Virginia 118 83 89 6 0 89 313 296
Texas A&M 110.5 92.5 101 8.5 0 65.5 261.5 277
USC 121.5 66 27 -39 0 84 264.33 232.5
Indiana 66 71 82 11 13 55 190 216
Louisville 94 89 73 -16 0 42 227 209
NC State 66 27.5 25 -2.5 0 65 192 156
Michigan 54 17 21 4 0 68 156.5 143
Tennessee 54 63 45 -18 0 38 158.33 137
Missouri 40 39 73 34 0 14 63 127
Arizona 71 16 26 10 0 14 81.33 111
Ohio St 42 22 19 -3 0 27 94 88
Texas 39 35 14 -21 0 31 142 84
Florida 19.5 2 0 -2 20 44 66 83.5
UNC 22 28 15 -13 9 25 71 71
UCLA 37 7 6 -1 19 8 20 70
Purdue 8 18 11 -7 11 18 39 48
Nevada 29 0 0 0 17 0 0 46
Wisconsin 25 0 12 12 0 4 10 41
Kentucky 10 1 5 4 6 13 14 34
Minnesota 2 1 16 15 14 2 4 34
Miami (Ohio) 16 0 0 0 15 0 0 31
UMBC 0 0 7 7 0 17 17 24
South Carolina 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 17
Virginia Tech 6 10.5 0 -10.5 0 10 20 16
Alabama 8 12 6 -6 0 2 14 16
Penn St 6 1 5 4 0 5 6 16
LSU 0 0 0 0 4 11 15 15
Air Force 4 0 0 0 0 9 9 13
Denver 3 0 6 6 0 3 3 12
Kansas 0 0 11 11 0 0 0 11
Iowa 0 9 9 0 0 0 9 9
Auburn 0 5 9 4 0 0 7 9
Nebraska 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Boise St 0 0 0 0 0 6 20 6
SMU 0 6 6 0 0 0 6 6
EMU 0 3 5 2 0 0 3 5
Rutgers 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 5
FGCU 0 3 4 1 0 0 3 4
Hawaii 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Pittsburgh 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2
Oregon St 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
Miami (FL) 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Cincinnati 0 12 0 -12 0 0 12 0

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About Morgan Priestley

Morgan Priestley

A Stanford University and Birmingham, Michigan native, Morgan Priestley started writing for SwimSwam in February 2013 on a whim, and is loving that his tendency to follow and over-analyze swim results can finally be put to good use. Morgan swam competitively for 15+ years, primarily excelling in the mid-distance freestyles. While …

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