2023 NCAA DIVISION I MEN’S SWIMMING & DIVING CHAMPIONSHIPS
- March 22-25, 2023
- Jean K. Freeman Aquatic Center | Minneapolis, MN
- SCY (25 yards)
- Meet Central
- Psych Sheets
- SwimSwam Preview Index
- SwimSwam Pick ’em Contest
- Live Results
Just as we score out the psych sheets every year prior to the NCAA Championships, we’ve decided to do a similar exercise with the diving events to give us an idea of where the points might come from this week at Men’s NCAAs in Minneapolis.
When we score out the psych sheets, we know things aren’t going to go exactly as projected for a myriad of factors, with things such as taper, nerves, event schedules and everything else playing into how swimmers perform on the big stage.
In diving, there’s a different set of variables at play, as the NCAA qualifiers competed at five different Zone meets last week, meaning there were five different sets of judges. Therefore, comparing scores across multiple meets is far from being an exact, definitive ranking, but it does give us some indication of who the favorites are heading into NCAAs.
We did this exercise with the women’s meet last week as well, though we’ve yet to go back to see how these projections stacked up against the meet results.
Below, find the top 16 scores in each of the three men’s diving events across the five Zone meets (using finals results only), and how they would stack up against one another in an NCAA scoring format (with their hypothetical point total included).
|8||Adrian Abadia Garcia||LSU||738.65||11|
Indiana’s Andrew Capobianco, the NCAA runner-up last year on 1-meter, posted the highest Zones score at 790-flat, followed closely by Tennessee’s Bryden Hattie.
The Hoosiers project to score 34 points in this event alone, while Stanford and USC come in with 25 and 24, respectively.
|3||Anton Down Jenkins||UNC||836.90||16|
|11||Adrian Abadia Garcia||LSU||778.60||6|
Capobianco was second on 3-meter last year at NCAAs but sits sixth based on Zone score, so he may have room to climb relative to this ranking. Tennessee’s Hattie, 26th last year, leads the pack, while Indiana leads all teams with 28 projected points in the event. Miami (FL) is close behind with 26 with three divers inside the top 12.
Columbia’s Jonathan Suckow and UNC’s Anton Down Jenkins both figure to be prominent players in this event at NCAAs, having placed fourth and sixth respectively last season.
Hattie leads the field on platform, and he’d have to be penciled in as the favorite as he was third last year and both divers who finished ahead of him aren’t competing thia season.
With three divers in the projected top 11, Indiana once again scores big here with 31 points.
SCORING THE ZONE RESULTS – TEAM STANDINGS
- Indiana, 93
- Tennessee, 57
- Miami (FL), 54
- Stanford, 36
- Texas, 34
- LSU, 33
- Columbia, 29
- USC, 24
- UNC, 16
- Purdue, 15
- South Carolina, 14
- Missouri, 12
- Minnesota / Auburn, 11
- Florida, 10
- Texas A&M, 8
- TCU, 4
- Ohio State, 3
- FSU, 1
Indiana projects to put up a whopping 93 diving points while Hattie is in position to give Tennessee a 57-point bump. However, funnily enough, the Volunteers project to drop from fifth on the scored swimming psych sheets down into sixth once diving is included as the Hoosiers are slated to overtake them.
In addition to Indiana leapfrogging Tennessee, Florida also inches past Arizona State for second due to their 10 diving points, while Stanford sees a big jump up into eighth after sitting 12th in the psych sheet scores.
Meanwhile, Texas, known for its diving prowess, still ranks seventh with 34 points projected to come their way on the boards.
Miami (FL), Columbia and USC all project to move into the top 25 on diving scores alone.
PROJECTED SCORES – PSYCH SHEETS + ZONE RESULTS
|1||California, University of, Berkeley||453.5||299.5||154||0|
|2||Florida, University of||429.5||243.5||176||10|
|3||Arizona State University||426.5||254.5||172||0|
|4||North Carolina State University||308||154||154||0|
|6||University of Tennessee||274.5||89.5||128||57|
|7||Texas, University of||203.5||114.5||55||34|
|11||Georgia, University of||128||80||48||0|
|12||Louisville, University of||125.5||45.5||80||0|
|13||Texas A&M University||100||66||26||8|
|14||Virginia, University of||97||26||71||0|
|15||Michigan, University of||86||46||40||0|
|16||Missouri, University of||85.5||36.5||37||12|
|17||Ohio State University||70.5||34.5||33||3|
|19||University of Alabama||51||29||22||0|
|20||University of Minnesota||44||33||0||11|
|21||Louisiana State University||43||10||0||33|
|23||Wisconsin, University of, Madison||25.5||25.5||0||0|
|24||Kentucky, University of||24||24||0||0|
|24||Arizona, University of||24||0||24||0|
|27||Georgia Institute of Technology||19.5||19.5||0||0|
|28||South Carolina, University of, Columbia||18||4||0||14|
|31||Notre Dame, University of||15||15||0||0|
|31||US Air Force Academy (M)||15||15||0||0|
|34||Southern Illinois Univ atCarbondale (M)||12.5||12.5||0||0|
|37||Utah, University of||11||11||0||0|
|39||Pittsburgh, University of||10||10||0||0|
|42||Southern Methodist University||2||2||0||0|
|42||Florida State University||2||1||0||1|
What is this, DiveDove? 😉
Where can I watch the livestream for free
You really think that Texas is only going to score 55 points in relays? Texas relay should be in the top 8 in all 5 relays.
Nobody reasonable thinks Texas will finish as low as 7th. However, I don’t see them finding the points to finish top 2 unless a lot of guys who aren’t seeded to score end up really producing. There is always one guy every year who really breaks out, but even with a lot of Texas-generous speculation, the math just doesn’t math this year.
The lost Kibler and Auchinachie, Krueger is a mystery…
Their 4×50free is toast and so is their 4×1free
depends what you mean by toast… Krueger, Foster,Hobson, someone.. Larson? probably a top 6
Leo Garcia (Florida) was ranked about the same last year going into NCs but ended up finaling in two of the three events with his highest finish being 4th on platform.
Also, it looks like someone scratched because Alberto Mestre was first alternate and he’s now listed to swim the 50/100 free in Meet Mobile.
Y’all are really cranking out the articles today. Massive thank you to all SwimSwam staff for your hard work as always, we commenters really appreciate it and are looking forward to another weekend of fast swimming.
I don’t think it’s anywhere near reality but the scoring looks like a 3 way race for first and a 3 way race for 4th with Texas solidly in 7th. What a weird sentence.
Crazy to think that IU divings floor, yes FLOOR, is 80+ points.
If Capo, Tyler, Henninger, and Weinrich are on, NCS can kiss 5th place good bye