Women’s NCAA Championships Day 2 Scoring Preview: Cal in line to take over lead

While day 1 of the NCAA Championships really played to Georgia’s strengths as a roster, day 2 has been great for the Cal Bears, who are projected to take over the team points lead tonight.

Cal is set up to score 202 points based on their prelim places this morning, compared to 142 for Georgia. Georgia currently leads Cal by just 10.

Note: these projections do not include 3-meter diving, but do include seeded points in the 800 free relay.

Below, we’ve got a look at which schools moved up and down compared to their seeded places. Cal actually dropped 4 points from seeds, but could earn those points back with just one or two swimmers moving up in finals. Georgia continued to outperform its seeds drastically, picking up 32 points, the most of any program.

Other big movers: Texas (+26), Missouri (+26) and Florida Gulf Coast (+24). The biggest fallers were Texas A&M (-21), Wisconsin (-21) and USC (-16).

Friday Prelims Scoring Projections

TEAM Day 2 Prelims Projection Day 2 Pre-meet Projection Points gained/lost
California 202 206 -4
Georgia 142 110 32
Stanford 126 140 -14
Virginia 101 109 -8
Louisville 84 73 11
Indiana 73 64 9
Texas A&M 68 89 -21
USC 62 78 -16
Texas 60 34 26
Tennessee 56 59 -3
Florida 51 57 -6
Missouri 50 24 26
Minnesota 43 41 2
FGCU 37 13 24
Michigan 25 34 -9
UNC 24 26 -2
Florida State 19 7 12
Kentucky 19 16 3
Auburn 18 22 -4
Denver 16 11 5
SMU 16 12 4
Alabama 15 17 -2
Purdue 12 12 0
Notre Dame 12 14 -2
Penn State 11 7 4
NC State 10 2 8
Arizona 10 20 -10
Nevada 9 5 4
Wisconsin 6 27 -21
UCLA 5 17 -12
Kansas 4 11 -7
Ohio State 3 5 -2
Illinois State 0 0 0
Iowa 0 0 0
Miami (OH) 0 0 0
Oregon State 0 0 0
Miami 0 0 0
Virginia Tech 0 1 -1
San Diego State 0 2 -2

 

In addition, we’ve also got an early look at the final projected totals for each team with half of the meet’s 6 sessions now wrapped up.

These projections do not include 3-meter or Platform Diving. They combine Thursday’s actual score, projected points for tonight based on Friday prelims, and projected points for tomorrow based on the psych sheets.

Things should still be close, but this projection has Cal picking up the win by 43 over Georgia, points that Georgia’s diver Olivia Ball can’t make up all by herself. That means the Bulldogs will need to continue to move up from their seeded scores by quite a bit to put themselves in position to beat Cal on the final day.

Cal & Georgia are seeded almost identically on Saturday, with the ‘Dawgs projected to earn 143 points to Cal’s 136.

Meanwhile further down the line, we see Stanford in very solid standing for third, with Virginia projected to top Texas A&M for fourth. Louisville has also put itself into top-tier status, projected to really round out the top 6 teams, which look to be well ahead of the rest of the nation based on these scores.

Projected Final Scores

Projected Rank TEAM Thursday Friday Prelims Saturday Projected Projected Final Score
1 California 162 202 136 500
2 Georgia 172 142 143 457
3 Stanford 111 126 82 319
4 Virginia 76 101 64 241
5 Texas A&M 82.5 68 72 222.5
6 Louisville 76 84 45 205
7 Florida 27 51 74 152
8 USC 46 62 39 147
9 Tennessee 52 56 25 133
10 Texas 42 60 30 132
11 Indiana 7 73 41 121
12 Wisconsin 54 6 45 105
13 Arizona 44 10 37 91
14 Minnesota 19 43 22 84
15 Missouri 30 50 0 80
16 NC State 41 10 24 75
17 Kentucky 21 19 34 74
18 Michigan 3 25 41 69
19 Auburn 32 18 15 65
20 UNC 32 24 0 56
21 Notre Dame 24 12 15 51
22 Florida State 11 19 17 47
23 FGCU 4.5 37 0 41.5
24 Penn State 19 11 0 30
25 Alabama 0 15 14 29
26 Purdue 14 12 0 26
27 SMU 8 16 0 24
28 Nevada 0 9 12 21
29 Denver 0 16 4 20
30 San Diego State 4 0 13 17
30 UCLA 0 5 12 17
32 Virginia Tech 0 0 15 15
33 Illinois State 12 0 0 12
34 Iowa 4 0 5 9
35 Miami (OH) 7 0 0 7
35 Oregon State 0 0 7 7
37 Miami 6 0 0 6
37 Ohio State 2 3 1 6
39 Kansas 0 4 0 4

 

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About Jared Anderson

Jared Anderson

Jared Anderson swam for nearly twenty years. Then, Jared Anderson stopped swimming and started writing about swimming. He's not sick of swimming yet. Swimming might be sick of him, though. Jared was a YMCA and high school swimmer in northern Minnesota, and spent his college years swimming breaststroke and occasionally pretending …

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