2015 Men’s NCAA Championships: Day Three Scoring Projections – Texas Win All But Guaranteed

It seems as though a Texas win is all but guaranteed tonight as the final day of competition lingers in Iowa. Texas is entering day two with 399 points, a whopping 124 points ahead of Cal who sit in second with 275.

Third right now is Michigan with 297.

Note: Projections do not include diving

After prelims this morning however, it seems as though the top three will stay where they are. Texas is projected to take the team title with a grand total of 512 points which would tie them for the third most points scored at an NCAA Championships in school history.

Cal is set to have a great day three as well. They’re projected to grab seven more points than Texas tonight and finish second with 395 points. Michigan is very safe for a third place spot. They’re in a position to grab 87 points tonight to put up 297 collectively.

In the battle for fourth, it’s looking as though USC could pass Florida. Florida didn’t have a fantastic day three prelims whereas USC was very solid. USC is projected to score 66.5 points tonight to Florida’s 37.

Stanford and Georgia are in a lock tonight for sixth place. Stanford is supposed to grab 197 points based on prelims results and Georgia 196.5. It’ll come down to the wire for those two teams.

The other big move in the points could be NC State. Based on prelims results it’s looking as though they’ll move up two spots, passing both Auburn ad Alabama. They’re projected to finish eighth with 192.5 points. Alabama looks as though they could pass Auburn tonight as well.

Top 10 based on prelims results

  1. Texas 512
  2. Cal 395
  3. Michigan 297
  4. USC 263.5
  5. Florida 242
  6. Stanford 197
  7. Georgia 196.5
  8. NC State 191.5
  9. Alabama 178
  10. Auburn 174

DAY THREE SCORING PREDICTIONS BASED ON PRELIMS RESULTS

School 200 BK 100 Free 200 Br 200 Fly 400 Free Relay Total
Cal 32 14 20 20 34 120
Texas 4 17 20 48 24 113
Michigan 7 15.5 11.5 23 30 87
NC State 16 26 13 32 87
USC 21.5 3 2 40 66.5
Alabama 3 17 13 18 51
Missouri 7 11 15 14 4 51
Georgia 14 19 12 45
Auburn 11 4 28 43
Stanford 15 26 41
Florida 9 15 5 8 37
Louisville 6 7 22 35
Arizona 17 2 19
Tennessee 17 17
BYU 14 14
Ohio State 14 14
Utah 13 13
Wisconsin 13 13
South Carolina 11.5 11.5
UNLV 10 10
Penn State 9 9
Georgia Tech 7 7
Notre Dame 1 6 7
Indiana 6 6
Florida State 6 6
Purdue 5 5
UNC 4 4
Virginia Tech 1 1 2
Western Kentucky 2 2

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liquidassets4TheBears
9 years ago

I totally missed it; what happened?

Tom
9 years ago

I hope Conger will win 200 fly and officially set NCAA record. He was very disappointed not to win 100 fly. He had tough championship his freshman year after coming in as a top recruit (with Murphy). I am not a big UT of Texas fan, even though I live in Austin, but I wish Conger the best.

ACC Swim Fan
9 years ago

Why is nobody talking about what happened in the 2fly? How they added time to that one heat?

Reply to  ACC Swim Fan
9 years ago

What happened? Timing malfuction?

Ole 99
9 years ago

NC State’s relay DQ going to cost them 6th

Reply to  Ole 99
9 years ago

Yup. It’s a bummer. But thems the breaks. They dont graduate a ton of points but will need to replace some crucial relay legs. I like their recruiting class and Held looks like the real deal.

9 years ago

Texas has got it going on: great school great coach excellent facilities fully funded desirable location weak conference All the stars are in alignment. Great job horns!!

Bay ciry tex
9 years ago

Just to make it interesting; Texas should not swim or dive tonight! 399 is probably enough!

About Mitch Bowmile

Mitch Bowmile

Mitch worked for 5-years with SwimSwam news as a web producer focusing on both Canadian and international content. He coached for Toronto Swim Club for four seasons as a senior coach focusing on the development of young swimmers. Mitch is an NCCP level 2 certified coach in Canada and an ASCA Level …

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