SwimSwam

Ranking the 2014 Men’s Recruiting Classes: #5-8

To see more about our methodology for rankings and to read an overview, click here.

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The 5-8 classes were all pretty close, and really were all built pretty similarly. One really versatile guy (McHugh, Bentz, Okubo, and Ogren) surrounded by a good sprinter and a few other guys to fit in-between. That’s what made it so hard to rank them: that they’re so similar.

Stanford, though, with a good, deep class got the push up to #5. They especially hit their home-turf very well, getting some good signees from their own backyard at Palo Alto Stanford Aquatics. Stanford and Georgia did the best at recruiting their local areas among the entire class of 2014.

#8. Tennessee Volunteers (NCAA Finish: 15th)
Top Signees: Sam McHugh, Peter John Stevens, Ryan Coetzee (South Africa), Josh Romany (Trinidad & Tobago)
Rest of the class: Ben Hendrickson

Though there’s probably a few more walk-on-types that will be added, the top four in this Tennessee men’s class are really good.

McHugh came into his own as a senior at the Baylor School. He’s a 4:16 in the 500 free, a 1:42 in the 200 back, a 1:43 in the 200 fly, and a 1:46 in the 200 IM, and is pretty good in either direction of those events well (47.7 in the 100 backstroke, 3:45 in the 400 IM). He’s a Junior National Champion and frankly has a shot at the U.S. Olympic Team as soon as 2016 in the 200 fly.

Hickson from the Stingrays in Georgia is a real sleeper signing. He’s a big kid who has dropped his breaststroke times in a hurry. In the 100 yard race, he went from 1:00.8 to 58.5 to 55.8 as a sophomore/junior/senior. He’ll join a Tennessee breaststroking group that desperately needs depth – they only return one sub-56 from last season.

Also joining that group, and perhaps a swimmer who will emerge at the top of that group at the end of his freshman year, is Peter John Stevens. The Slovenian national was the 2013 World Junior Champion in the 50 breaststroke, and has bests of 27.7 and 1:03.6 in the 50 and 100 breaststroke in long course meetings, and historically is very good in short course as well.

Tennessee is getting a few potential All-Americans as redshirt freshmen this coming season, so if Evan Pinion and David Heron are rolled into this “class,” it sparkles even a little bit brighter.

#7. Georgia (NCAA Finish: 5th)
Top Tier Additions: Gunnar Bentz, Jay Litherland, Kevin Litherland, Ian Forlini (diving)
Rest of the class: Basil Orr, Powell Brooks, Mick Litherland, Crawford Berry (diving/JuCo transfer)
Read more about signees here.

The Georgia Bulldogs pounded the in-state recruiting trails, and buoyed by a three-in-one-swoop signing of the Litherland triplets from the Dynamo Swim Club, turned in a very good class, if not a huge one. Supported by the HOPE Scholarship and HOPE grants available to in-state students, we can also surmise (though not declare with certainty) that this class came with a great value in terms of invested scholarships as well, since so many are in-state swimmers.

The big score is Bentz, a member of the USA Swimming National Team. Individually, his best events are the breaststrokes (55.00/1:56.59) and the IM’s (1:45.17/3:45.53) where he’s among the best in the class. Beyond those races, though, he ‘makes’ this class in that he’s the guy who will fill the Bulldogs’ biggest need: for another sprint freestyler (45.34) and butterflier (47.26) to replace Doug Reynolds’ spot in the lineup. This class is very heavy on distance guys, 200 meter guys, but doesn’t bring much in the way of a pure sprinter that this team really needed. Still, though, Bentz can swim almost literally any event with class, and so he’s going to have to do a lot of things for Georgia even as a freshman.

Of the three Litherlands, Jay thus far has had the best national and international career. He was a member of the United States’ Junior World Championship team, where he took 6th in the 400 IM. Both he and Kevin Litherland are members of the Junior National Team, and Kevin, with bests of 4:21.1 and 14:58.77 in the 500 and 1650 freestyles, should be an immediate scorer at NCAA’s with a continued trend.

Mick has the best speed of the class, and he too should be a part of the Georgia free relays by his sophomore year at least, if not sooner, with a best of 45.77 in the 100. He’s also a 1:46.0 200 butterflier and a 1:48.7 200 IM’er.

This class probably won’t be the one that gets the Georgia men ‘over the hump’ to where they’ll compete for NCAA team titles, but it is another good class that will improve their national success. With only a couple of significant graduations (Doug Reynolds and Andrew Gemmell), we could see the Bulldogs tick up another spot into the top 4 at the 2015 NCAA Championships with this group.

#6. Princeton Tigers (NCAA Finish: No scorers, no qualifiers)
Top Signees: Liam Karas, Alex Lewis, Zach Buerger, Corey Okubo, Ben Schafer (Australia)
Rest of the class: Liam Fitzgerald (diving), Tyler Sullivan, Drew Jung (diving)
More about signees here.

With deference to the early days of NCAA swimming, where Princeton was a powerhouse, the 2014 Princeton men’s might be the best class of the Tigers’ modern era (with the biggest contender for that title being the 2012 class, who will be juniors next year). At the least, it’s one of the best classes in the country. Karas, Buerger, and Okubo are all 1:46 or better in the 200 IM. Princeton went 1-2-3 in the 200 IM at the Ivy League Championships last year, and all three of those guys were sophomores. Karas, Buerger, and Okubo are all faster than any non-Princeton swimmers went at Ivies. Princeton has 4 of the 5 top returning swimmers in the event from last year’s meet. Add in three more, and do some Ivy League math: Princeton could have 7 out of the 8 swimmers in the A-final next year, and all would be underclassmen.

That’s just an example of how good this class is. Alex Lewis is a 44.1 freestyler, Karas has been 45.2, and Schafer has been 51.0 in long course. Adding those guys into the free relays could help Princeton challenge Harvard, who have been dominant there for the last few years.

Okubo will bring three top three finishes at Ivies and should qualify for NCAA’s as a freshman; Lewis will have a shot at both Ivy League sprint titles, and Karas will be a 40-plus point Ivy League scorer as well (Ivies score to C Finals).

Their diving signees aren’t enough to contend with Michael Mosca of Harvard, but they do add some depth at the conference level.

Harvard brought in a great class as well, but with the Tigers having very few graduations and such a high-impact from these freshmen, they’ll enter the season as Ivy League favorites. They’re young enough too that they could run off a couple in a row after Harvard took the crown by 82 points in 2014. Though Ivy swimmers’ progressions are by their nature more difficult to predict than those swimmers in other conferences, expect Princeton to get back to the NCAA Championships this year as well.

#5. Stanford (NCAA Finish: 9th)
Top Tier Additions: Curtis Ogren, Andrew Liang, Liam Egan, Brock Turner, Wes Olmsted
Rest of the class: Sam Perry (New Zealand), Patrick Conaton, Peter Arnet (Belgium), Tarek Abdelghany (diving), Ted Miclau (diving)
Read more about the signees here.

The star of the class is Curtis Ogren, the National Independent High School Record holder in the 200 IM (1:44.90). Ogren’s improvements in yards slowed during his senior season in his primary IM and breaststroke events, though he did increase his versatility with times like a 45.6 in the 100 free and a 1:44.2 in the 200 back. Watch in long course this summer to get a better feel for where he’s at with the IM’s.

He will also battle sophomore-to-be Daniel Le for a spot on Stanford’s medley relays on the breaststroke leg with Mason Shaw graduating.

While Ogren is the biggest name of the class, the key to the whole thing is a local signee, from PASA, Andrew Liang. He’s a 46.8-second butterflier and a 20.1/44.2 freestyler. He should help take a lot of pressure off of David Nolan and Tom Kremer on Stanford’s relays as they look to bounce back from a 9th-place NCAA finish. Sam Perry, a New Zealand National Champion, and Wes Olmsted will have a chance to help on those relays as well.

Patrick Conaton is the “high ceiling” guy in this class. Of the American recruits, he’s the tallest at 6’3, and he’s shown rapid improvements even since signing in the fall. He’s dropped his 100 yard back time by a full second to 48.5, and his 200 back time by two-and-a-half to a 1:44.64. At only 165 pounds, per Stanford’s official recruiting announcement, he’s got plenty of room to fill out and continue his big time drops.

The two divers are Junior-National-finalists caliber.

Comments

  1. 5AMinToronto says:
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    Don’t underestimate Stanford’s class. You seem to have forgotten to mention the impact that Brock Turner and Liam Egan will have, both of whom are Junior National Team members. David Nolan and Andrew Cosgarea will graduate in 2015, leaving vacancies in backstroke, IM, and freestyle. Brock’s 200 back and 400 IM could help fill the void, as well as Liam’s 200-1650 versatility in freestyle. Peter Arnet will be of great help on the shorter relays.

  2. theroboticrichardsimmons says:
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    i think zach buerger from princeton deserves a bit more love in this article. he doesn’t have the same lcm chops as okubo, but he’s a multi-event talent that can really impact relays:

    200 IM: 1:45.64
    50 free: 20.82
    100y free: 44.18
    200y free: 1:37.62
    500y free: 4:22.75
    50y back: 22.13r
    100y back: 48.74
    200y back: 1:47.92
    100y fly: 48.21
    200y fly: 1:46.35

    and only 4 of those swims (50 bk relay, 100 free leadoff, 200 IM, 500 free) were done at his state meet, with the others coming at meets where he clearly wasn’t fully shaved and tapered.

  3. Stoyle says:
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    I agree. I’ve raced him several times over the years. Immense talent. I wish him the best of luck at Princeton.

  4. blahblahblah says:
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    No love for the guy doing the writing. I for one appreciate that we even have a website that takes the time to compile these wonderful articles. If you don’t think your son or daughter got enough press, than you can pontificate all you want on their behalf right here in the comments section like you already do.

    Thank you Braden for your time and efforts. I love these articles and don’t even have a son in college.

  5. iLikePsych says:
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    I think Stanford should be higher. Just my opinion of course! Thanks for posting this, it makes the work day a lot easier!

    • weirdo says:
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      Stanford always get top classes, but haven’t done much with the talent in the last 15 years. Even with the new staff, they were 9th this year I think, so bottom line, you have to coach them up.

    • Braden Keith Braden Keith says:
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      iLikePsych – in any other year, I think they would have been higher. The top 4 classes, though, are really, really good this year. Stay tuned for tomorrow before making your final decision.

      • calswimfan says:
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        YOU LIED TO US BRADEN!! I’ve been checking every 2 hours and no sign of the top 4 post :(

        • Braden Keith Braden Keith says:
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          calswimfan – I know, I know, I lied. We learned about a bunch of new walk-ons at Michigan (very good walkons, previously unannounced, including a 55-second breaststroker), and wanted to slow down and make sure we’d considered them all thoroughly in the rankings. Then it got late in the day, and traffic is always very slow on Friday nights.

          Expect to see the top 4 tomorrow morning! Sorry for the tease!

  6. SS85 says:
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    Stanford’s only fifth because swimswam decided that Caeleb Dressel by himself should be the fourth-best recruiting class

  7. SwimminIsGood says:
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    Tomorrow will be fun…a story to look forward to on a Friday!

    I feel confident about 3 of the remaining 4: Michigan, Cal, Texas…I just don’t know about the fourth in this last list. I’ll take a stab though…

    #4: not sure who this team is…

    #3: so close, but I’ll choose Texas, simply because of smaller # of recruits than Michigan or Cal…though I could certainly see Texas at #2 and Michigan at #3. Roberts, Schooling, Temple and Ringgold will probably all score their freshman year, 3 of 4 of them perhaps in multiple events. That’s an amazing class…those four alone in a medley relay would be quite speedy… Add those four to the already stellar Texas roster and they will be awfully tough come next year in March. Hixon’s departure is a big blow to them, however. Getting ahead of myself…

    #2: Michigan…going with Powers, Ransford, Sanders, Whitaker and White…plus others…to have an ever so slightly bigger overall impact on Michigan. Some really good sprinting times with this group, which is significant in the NCAA format. Ransford will keep the distance group firing on all cylinders.

    #1: Cal…deep class, with many stellar best times for these guys: Lynch, Silverthorn (though he was a bit off this past scy season), Gornay, Coan, Hoppe and his recent success, Kao and then even Green’s great strides…then Whittle and Stevens. That’s quite a class. Slightly lacking in super free sprinters, perhaps?

    If you took only the top 4 in each class, Texas seems to have the #1 ticket, in my opinion. But, with all the recruits, I’ll go with Cal.

    Braden…can’t wait for your assessment! As you can see, I’m just a bit interested ;-)

  8. paco says:
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    Doesn’t Stanford also have Jack Lane coming back from a year sabbatical?

  9. korn says:
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    Rumor has it that Michigan has a foreign stud coming in second semester!

  10. theroboticrichardsimmons says:
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    USC had a bunch of late foreign signees, include pawel furtek (3:52 / 7:57 / 15:10 lcm) and Ralf Tribunstov (23.0 / 49.8 lcm free, 53.7 fly, 55.2 bk). Those two on their own will be a force to be reckoned with. Add to that a supporting cast of Jon Knox (20.8 / 45.3 / 1:37.0), james clausen (4:25 / 9:17 / 15:20) and jason o’brien (1:38.4 / 4:19 = whoa), and that’s a pretty solid group. I don’t think it’s top 4 worth, but I wouldn’t be surprised if that was one of the classes that was borderline top 12.

  11. ThighEnthusiast says:
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    Stanford may be fifth, but Andrew Liang’s thighs are #1 in the class of 2014, without question

  12. SwimFan says:
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    And the guys swimming fast that are less physically mature are always the most interesting to look back on in four years

  13. northeastern says:
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    Alex Lewis (Princeton) swam his 44.1 free at the Yale pool (6 lane 1932 dungeon). Have him race in a modern fast pool and expect his sprints will be noticeably faster.

  14. Jon Newsom says:
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    Stanford with another top shelf recruiting class. And I fully anticipate the usual results in the pool over the next 4 years.

    • SwimFan says:
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      Princeton’s roster’s versatility is impressive – stacked with 200 IMer’s according to SwimSwam’s story gives a lot of flexibility.

  15. swimmom says:
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    In Ga, the Hope scholarship ( 90% of tuition) and Zell Miller scholarship ( 100% tuition) is only available to those who qualify ( not saying these kids didn’t qualify though I would imagine the majority of them did) and it is only maintained after the first 30 hours if you have a 3.0 or a 3.3.It is checked at 60 and 90 hours also. To get the scholarships, Zell requires a 3.7( CORE classes only) and a 26 ACT or 1200 math/ verbal SAT.I think new restrictions like a certain number of high school AP classes are about to kick in.Granted keeping it is probably easier at UGA (depending on the major) than at some of these other schools .No matter where they go in Ga though, a kid will need to be a good student to keep the money.So if these guys dont maintain grades they scholarship goes away. Across the state many students lose the money after 1 year. And of course nearly all of them are not the talented athletes these guys are.

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