Over/Unders: How Many US Open And World Records Go Down In Austin?

Anya Pelshaw
by Anya Pelshaw 20

December 01st, 2025 News

Midseason is almost over but the US Open and SCM European Championships are here. What do you think will happen this week?

The US Open brings some of the top talent to the US and the meet will be in LCM format. How many World Records do you think will go down? How many US Open records do you think will be broken?

  • Example: Upvote if you think one or more World Record will go down this week in Austin, downvote if you think none will be broken

Over/under is a typical wager used in sports-books. With this, no money will be involved. Simply put, we do the over/unders, you have fun and upvote or downvote, have some friendly debate in the comments.

Last Week’s Results (Almost):

So far, the over has hit for all but one event with the men’s 100 fly only having two men sub-44. With only post-Thanksgiving invites to go, the Minnesota Invite is the most likely reason the over hits.

Current Number Of Sub-XX (11/14) Number Under at 2025 NCAAs Over/Under Number of Sub-Swims So Far + Votes – Votes
50 Free Sub-19 7 14 9 15 93 8
100 Free Sub-42 7 25* 12 20 98 8
100 Back Sub-45 3 12 7 9 62 34
100 Breast Sub-51 2 11 5 7 63 38
100 Fly Sub-44 2 6 4 3 38 65

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Kawaik25ean
6 months ago

Go for it, let’s play.
In front of a impassive Bob, Texas squad is smashing their pool.
Summer explodes 200 fly 刘子歌 and rebreaks her 400fr one, Léon goes wild and does the same thing, Casas 50 fly 100 fly and ?, Smith the back ones, Hobson makes the “Fritz fraud” one an old story and so on.

Kawaik25ean
Reply to  Kawaik25ean
6 months ago

And like Sherry Smit said, high altitude training makes Summer but all the team too the real Avengers squad.
Look out Gretchen !
I’m hoping I’m not making dead-one predictions 🤭​🙃​😅​

Sherry Smit
6 months ago

Wouldn’t be surprised to see McIntosh break the world record in the 200 fly, and here’s why. She just came off of high altitude training and historically speaking, Bob’s group has done very well in the meets following that heavy training. In the past her back half in the 200 fly has been there, and I think her approach at this meet seems to be speed focused (400 FR; 100 BK; 100/200 FL). If her speed is there and her endurance she has worked on in Colorado, I could definitely see a 2:01.1-2:01.7.

Lily
Reply to  Sherry Smit
6 months ago

Super excited to see Summer race! For sure that WR is coming in 2026. This meet, following her illness & recovery, I hope she gets some PBs in her 100 races.

Walsh-Madden-Grimes-Weinstein
6 months ago

Zilch!

Torchbearer
6 months ago

I would love a surprise WR in December, but not from the usual suspects- say a Pallister (800m) or Alexy (100m).

Lily
6 months ago

Swimswam, can you please interview Bob Bowman?

Free Palpatine
6 months ago

Gretchen walsh 100 fly?

Lisa
Reply to  Free Palpatine
6 months ago

Maybe but if she doesn’t do it then she probably going 55 high

Buckeyeboy
6 months ago

Austin inflation is a real thing i see.

RealCrocker5040
6 months ago

I think Leon Marchand is joining speedo

trollstyle
Reply to  RealCrocker5040
6 months ago

Am I missing something?

Kawaik25ean
Reply to  trollstyle
6 months ago

No

About Anya Pelshaw

Anya Pelshaw

Anya has been with SwimSwam since June 2021 as both a writer and social media coordinator. She was in attendance at the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, and 2026 Women's NCAA Championships writing and doing social media for SwimSwam. She also attended 2023 US Summer Nationals as well as the 2024 …

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