Psych sheet scoring provides a good prediction as to what may happen during the meet based on performances during the season, but how accurate have the psych sheet predictions been?
Price Fishback created a chart to compare the actual results from the 2014 NCAA Championships to the psych sheet scoring predictions from 2014. After removing diving points from the actual scores, we were able to see what teams improved upon their seeds and what teams fell back.
A lot of swimming fans felt that California under-performed last year at the NCAA Championships, but the numbers show that they actually outscored their seeds by 72 points. California is already the heavy favorite to win this year, and if they can out-swim their seeds again this year, nobody will be able to catch them.
Stanford is another team that moved up quite a bit last year, out-scoring their predicted scores by 83.5 points. They are within striking range of Georgia, but anything could happen over the next three days.
Scoring reakdown of the top teams from the 2014 NCAA Championships:
|Rank||Team||Final Score||Swim Points||Dive Points||Predicted Scores From Psych Sheet||Gain/Loss From Psych|
Predicted Scoring Based on 2015 Psych Sheets:
|Rank||Team||Total Score||Day 1 Score||Day 2 Score||Day 3 Score|