Will Ryan Lochte Make the 2021 U.S. Olympic Team?

Gold Medal Minute presented by SwimOutlet.com12-time Olympic medalist Ryan Lochte looked a little rough at the recent San Antonia Pro Swim, swimming 2:02.03 in the 200m IM, but he always swims slowly in-season, and Caeleb Dressel swam slowly, and they’re both in Coach Gregg Troy‘s clutches. In sum, we know they’re doing hard work–certainly broken down at this point in their training cycle.

“If there was an 800 IM at the Olympics, I would be swimming it,” Ryan Lochte said in his last Gold Medal Minute back in October 2020.  He also revealed his Olympic Trials schedule, which was the standard Lochte schedule we’ve always seen.  He said,  “At this point, with all of the work I’m doing? 400 and 200 IM, 200 back, 200 free, 100 fly…”

I’m still bullish on Lochte’s chances to make the 2021 U.S. Olympic Team this summer. Lochte has mastery in the 200 IM. He’s going to turn heads at the U.S. Olympic Trials.

PREDICTIONS

Lochte makes Team USA in the 200 IM, dropping a solid 1:55 low…barely edging Shaine Casas, Michael Andrew, Chase Kalisz and Andrew Seliskar. It’s going to be a tight race… Of course, you know I want everyone to make the Olympic Team.  But who cares what i think? I want to know what you think. Give me your best swimming analysis.

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This is a Gold Medal Media production presented by SwimOutlet.com. Host Gold Medal Mel Stewart is a 3-time Olympic medalist and the co-founder of SwimSwam.com, a Swimming News website.

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Human Ambition
9 months ago

The trials M 200IM will be an absolute hornets’ nest. If anyone born back when Atari and Commodore lead the personal computer sales, can make the team it is Ryan.

Coach Mike 1952
Reply to  Human Ambition
9 months ago

He wants his last hurrah for sure.

Austinpoolboy
Reply to  Human Ambition
9 months ago

It might take 1:58.0 or better in semis to get a chance at finals

EnAn
Reply to  Austinpoolboy
9 months ago

Sure … at the past two olympics 1:58.8 was enough to final, but at US trials it will take 1:58.0 …
In 2012 it took 2:01.5 to final and in 2016 it took 1:59.8 to final …

Riccardo
Reply to  EnAn
9 months ago

Many swimmers scratched the 200 IM in favor of other events at the last 2 trials because they knew they had no chance of beating Phelps or Lochte.

Many of them world class IMers that could have easily finaled or won a medal at any world Championships or Olympics.

Names include Chase Kalisz, Conor Dwyer, Tyler Clary etc.

GMM
Reply to  Human Ambition
9 months ago

😂😂😂

Breaking Bad News
Reply to  Human Ambition
9 months ago

Lookout! The youngsters are coming to invade Lochte’s space!

Comet
Reply to  Human Ambition
9 months ago

By far the hardest event to predict at the trials

Swimgl
9 months ago

No doubt..

Mr Piano
Reply to  Swimgl
9 months ago

No swimmer not named Ledecky is safe.

GMM
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

#truth

Lord farquad
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

Dressel?

Gold Medal Mel Stewart
Reply to  Lord farquad
9 months ago

agreed….

Old Swim Coach
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

King?

Blackflag82
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

Dean will be very displeased by your lack of faith…

A C
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

This would be a good topic for a swimswam article. Which swimmers besides Ledecky are the most likely to make the team / win a particular event.

Ol' Longhorn
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

And then there’s Kazan, so no one’s safe.

You Sada
Reply to  Swimgl
9 months ago

No. Doubt.

Ol' Longhorn
9 months ago

“My philosophy is if you’re a man at night (now changing diapers), you gotta be a man in the morning.”

GMM
Reply to  Ol' Longhorn
9 months ago

Ooooo, bringing back the old and famous Lochte quotes w/a twist

SwampMaster
Reply to  GMM
9 months ago

That old and famous quote actually originates with one Mr. Greggory Troy.

Torchbearer
Reply to  Ol' Longhorn
9 months ago

Unless they’re your own diapers… 🙂

Ol' Longhorn
Reply to  Torchbearer
9 months ago

Quit picking on my age.

Sun Yangs Hammer
9 months ago

For Lochte a 1:56 is probably muscle memory and with enough Gregg Troy “Honest Work” I think he’ll grab a spot.

Jeah

He said what?
Reply to  Sun Yangs Hammer
9 months ago

God, I hope so.

GMM
Reply to  Sun Yangs Hammer
9 months ago

JEAH!!!!!

EnAn
Reply to  Sun Yangs Hammer
9 months ago

Sure … that is why he hasn’t gone faster than 1:57.76 since the last olympics (almost 5 years ago).
Even in 2016 1:56 wasn’t a lock for him, for example he didn’t go sub 1:57 in the olympic final (when he was 5 years younger).

Mr Piano
Reply to  EnAn
9 months ago

He was 30 pounds overweight in 2019, and had a groin injury that clearly nerfed his breaststroke in 2016

EnAn
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

Ok, don’t let facts get in the way of your “reasoning” …

Mr Piano
Reply to  EnAn
9 months ago

Facts are useless without context

EnAn
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

So what context do you need apart from him not going faster than 1:57.76 in almost five years? How does it make sense to imply that he can go 1:56 routinely, when he hasn’t done it in almost 5 years and is now 36 years old?

Sun Yangs Hammer
Reply to  EnAn
9 months ago

Because that 1:57 looked rough and 30lb overweight Lochte still clowned Casas, Smith and both Fosters

A C
Reply to  Sun Yangs Hammer
9 months ago

I am not so sure. 1:56 is a super fast time. Let’s hope he can do it.

Mr Piano
9 months ago

“Maybe they’ll all tie” lmao.

I think I heard in an earlier interview with Lochte that he’s been averaging 70k a week. That tells me he’s truly grinding it out, and the times he put up last tyr pro meet were not that far off from what he would go in his prime in 2011-2012.

I think Lochte’s gonna need to be around 1:56 flat to make the team in the 200 IM.

25.00
29.00
33.50
28.50

Let’s hope Ryan gets a big taper like the days of old, cause he’s gonna need it.

tea rex
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

70k in your mid-thirties seems like way too much. The body needs more recovery at 36 than it did at 26.

Blackflag82
Reply to  tea rex
9 months ago

wasn’t the strongman stuff after he left Troy…ie. he was doing it with fewer yardage with Marsh? I didn’t think the two were simultaneous, but I could be misremembering.

Blackflag82
Reply to  Blackflag82
9 months ago

50/50 odds one of us has got it right, which might be better odds than Lochte has 🙂

Xman
Reply to  Blackflag82
9 months ago

No he started sometime between 09 worlds and 10 pan pacs. It was featured all over his Twitter and Instagram back then.

He also had a bet with Ed Moses at some point that year for the 100 breast.

Hesus
Reply to  tea rex
9 months ago

If he’s doing 70k and still posting the times he is at 36 that should only give people more reason to believe he can make it

Last edited 9 months ago by Hesus
The Original Tim
Reply to  tea rex
9 months ago

I’m in the same age bracket as Lochte, though much, much slower. I don’t have anywhere remotely close to the training pedigree or decades of massive base built up that he does, but I feel pretty rough after a week of 30-35k. I’m pretty sure my body would fall apart if I doubled that yardage!

eagleswim
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

Eddie reese once said that if he was brave enough he would have his swimmers taper by not touching the water for three weeks before the meet… I think if there was ever a time to take the risk on that strategy it would be lochte tapering from his Florida training at 36 haha

Gold Medal Mel Stewart
Reply to  eagleswim
9 months ago

….interesting…..

A C
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

I’m not sure about that. I thought I heard more like 8K a day and maybe one day off per week.

Ondulation Fabio
9 months ago

I absolutely love Ryan’s determination. I would just beg him to drop at least that 200 back given the scheduling conflict. The man somewhat managed the racing load in 2008 and 2012, I highly doubt he would be able to pull it off again at trials, let alone the Olympics.

cynthia curran
Reply to  Ondulation Fabio
9 months ago

Good point. Its harder when you are 36 years old to recover and do more than one stroke prelims, semis, and finals. That why masters swim meets are all finals.

FluidG
Reply to  cynthia curran
9 months ago

Definitely true that we need more recovery time with age, but Masters swim meets are all timed finals because the rules were written in the dark ages when women were considered too frail for the 1500. It should be an option, not a RULE. Age group world records don’t count if the meet is prelims/ finals. Kind of ridiculous.

A C
Reply to  Ondulation Fabio
9 months ago

He won’t make the team in the 100 Fly so he should drop that race from his schedule.

Austinpoolboy
9 months ago

No 1:55 at trials for anyone

You left off Carson Foster 1:57.59 and young and still improving and beat Casas head to head.
He’ll surprise and make it in 1:56.89
Lochte is a racer. He’ll make team in 1:57.11
Selisakar will be in hunt at 1:57.23
Kalisz 1:57.55
Casas 1:57.62
K Smith 1:57.77
Andrew 1:57.86
Jay Litherland 1:58.04
Sam Stewart 1:58.23

Mr Piano
Reply to  Austinpoolboy
9 months ago

Andrew, Seliskar, and Devine will all be 1:56 mid or faster.

Austinpoolboy
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

For sure all are capable. My prediction is Andrew will hit his 1:56 in semi’s, but not in finals. I certainly won’t bet against Seliskar. Devine made World team, so if he is on his game he will be in the hunt for sure.

EnAn
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

Gonna remember that. I absolutely agree about Andrew (who will make the team imo), but the other two … ?

Joel Lin
Reply to  Mr Piano
9 months ago

I think & hope most of Seli’s eggs are in the 2 free basket. He should lock down a spot in the relay & hopefully also nab an individual spot in the 2 free.

All else is a bonus for him. I agree he’s a realistic 1:56 in the IM, which could make the team. He’s a lock down 1:45 mid in the 2 free which will make the team.

Joel Lin
Reply to  Joel Lin
9 months ago

Like with Tom Shields in 2016, it’s impossible not to really really be pulling for Seli to make an Olympic team. He’s the guy who should pull through to finally make an Olympic team.

EnAn
Reply to  Joel Lin
9 months ago

What do you mean when you say 1:45 mid? From what i can see, he never went faster than 1:45.70.

Austinpoolboy
Reply to  Joel Lin
9 months ago

Yes!

Willswim
Reply to  Austinpoolboy
9 months ago

He said Lochte will edge out the other guys to get a spot so I think he was hinting that he thinks Lochte will get second behind Foster. That’s the only reason I could see to leave Foster off the guys edged out list. I could be wrong though, I don’t want to put words into his mouth.

GMM
Reply to  Willswim
9 months ago

Ahhhhhhh, jeah…sure…that’s what I meant.

Bub
Reply to  Austinpoolboy
9 months ago

I don’t think Smith will swim this

GMM
Reply to  Austinpoolboy
9 months ago

Everyone swim .8-9 faster than that

Austinpoolboy
Reply to  GMM
9 months ago

That would be fun Mel, but those rose colored 🤓 glasses. Historically we don’t see a lot of best times. Dunno if it is slow pool, challenging warm up conditions, nerves what ever. Sticking with an exciting close race with about half dozen guys racing each other. That’s fun too.

EnAn
Reply to  Austinpoolboy
9 months ago

Maybe look at past results? It NEVER happens that everyone swims close to his best in the final. There will be at least two guys at 1:58 high or even 1:59.

Austinpoolboy
Reply to  EnAn
9 months ago

That sounds right to me. A couple guys will swim out of their minds in semis, but won’t be able to replicate it in finals.

A C
Reply to  Austinpoolboy
9 months ago

I think that the winner will be under 1:57. You could be right about the second place time.

Austinpoolboy
Reply to  A C
9 months ago

Have Foster at 1:56.89 for the win

Gheko
9 months ago

It will be tough but he might just do it.never write off a champion!

About Gold Medal Mel Stewart

Gold Medal Mel Stewart

MEL STEWART Jr., aka Gold Medal Mel, won three Olympic medals at the 1992 Olympic Games. Mel's best event was the 200 butterfly. He is a former World, American, and NCAA Record holder in the 200 butterfly. As a writer/producer and sports columnist, Mel has contributed to Yahoo Sports, Universal Sports, …

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