California Pulls Ahead of Georgia, Leads By 84 After Day 2

A big night for California helped give them some breathing room with an 84 lead on the defending national champions, the Georgia Bulldogs. If Georgia has a great day tomorrow, they may be able to pull Cal back in by 40-50 points, but an 84 point lead will probably be too much for the Bulldogs to reel back in.

Tomorrows prelims session will most likely decide the outcome of the meet. If Georgia wants to contest for their third consecutive national title, they will need a lot of swimmers to step up and make an impact.

Below are graphs made by Price Fishback analyzing the actual scoring compared the predicted seeded scores. To read the full recap from the second night of finals, click here.

Scorecasting Sorted By Friday Night Team Scores:

Rank TEAM Friday Night Score Psych sheet score for Sat Events Final Score Prediction Friday Final + Psych on Saturday Final Score Psych Sheet Prediction No Diving Difference combined change in swimming + diving Diving Thurs Diving Friday
1 cal 383.5 136 519.5 505 14.5
2 ga 299.5 143 442.5 369 73.5
3 st 264 82 346 310 36 17 16
4 va 168 64 232 294 -62
5 tam 153.5 72 225.5 220 5.5
6 lou 151 45 196 160 36
7 socal 128 39 167 161 6 1 2
8 tx 115 30 145 99 46 4
9 tn 110 25 135 130 5
10 mo 90 0 90 44 46 9
11 in 82 41 123 123 0 4 12
12 az 81 37 118 62 56 20 11
13 fl 66 74 140 194 -54 13
14 mn 66 22 88 82 6 16 20
15 wi 59 45 104 129 -25
16 ncst 51 24 75 63 12 5
17 psu 50 0 50 31 19
18 nc 45.5 0 45.5 26 19.5 3
19 ky 44 34 78 50 28 17
20 nd 40 15 55 34 21 9
21 fgc 37.5 0 37.5 18 19.5
22 au 34 15 49 67 -18
23 fsu 30 17 47 26 21 11
24 mifl 26 0 26 0 26 6 20
25 smu 25.5 0 25.5 24 1.5
26 mioh 24 0 24 0 24 7 17
27 pu 24 0 24 12 12 14
28 ucla 22 12 34 36 -2 15
29 al 17 14 31 39 -8
30 den 17 4 21 15 6
31 nev 16 12 28 17 11 7
32 mi 13 41 54 98 -44
33 vt 13 15 28 16 12 13
34 ilst 12 0 12 0 12 12
35 lsu 8 0 8 8 0 5
36 ohst 5 1 6 6 0
37 sds 4 13 17 46 -29
38 io 4 5 9 5 4
39 ha 4 0 4 0 4 3 1
40 ka 4 0 4 11 -7
41 ark 2 1 3 7 -4
42 cin 1 0 1 4 -3
43 orst 0 7 7 10 -3
44 rice 0 0 0 14 -14

Scorecasting Sorted By Final Score Prediction Friday Final + Psych on Saturday:

Rank TEAM Friday Night Score Psych sheet score for Sat Events Final Score Prediction Friday Final + Psych on Saturday Final Score Psych Sheet Prediction No Diving Difference combined change in swimming + diving Diving Thurs Diving Friday
1 cal 383.5 136 519.5 505 14.5
2 ga 299.5 143 442.5 369 73.5
3 st 264 82 346 310 36 17 16
4 va 168 64 232 294 -62
5 tam 153.5 72 225.5 220 5.5
6 lou 151 45 196 160 36
7 socal 128 39 167 161 6 1 2
8 tx 115 30 145 99 46 4
9 fl 66 74 140 194 -54 13
10 tn 110 25 135 130 5
11 in 82 41 123 123 0 4 12
12 az 81 37 118 62 56 20 11
13 wi 59 45 104 129 -25
14 mo 90 0 90 44 46 9
15 mn 66 22 88 82 6 16 20
16 ky 44 34 78 50 28 17
17 ncst 51 24 75 63 12 5
18 nd 40 15 55 34 21 9
19 mi 13 41 54 98 -44
20 psu 50 0 50 31 19
21 au 34 15 49 67 -18
22 fsu 30 17 47 26 21 11
23 nc 45.5 0 45.5 26 19.5 3
24 fgc 37.5 0 37.5 18 19.5
25 ucla 22 12 34 36 -2 15
26 al 17 14 31 39 -8
27 nev 16 12 28 17 11 7
28 vt 13 15 28 16 12 13
29 mifl 26 0 26 0 26 6 20
30 smu 25.5 0 25.5 24 1.5
31 mioh 24 0 24 0 24 7 17
32 pu 24 0 24 12 12 14
33 den 17 4 21 15 6
34 sds 4 13 17 46 -29
35 ilst 12 0 12 0 12 12
36 io 4 5 9 5 4
37 lsu 8 0 8 8 0 5
38 orst 0 7 7 10 -3
39 ohst 5 1 6 6 0
40 ha 4 0 4 0 4 3 1
41 ka 4 0 4 11 -7
42 ark 2 1 3 7 -4
43 cin 1 0 1 4 -3
44 rice 0 0 0 14 -14

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5 years ago

Georgia had to be up 60 on day 1 to keep this close. They swam great in prelims but couldn’t come back and max out their points… this is too great a deficit. 20 points maybe, but 84… it’s over.

bobo gigi
5 years ago

I’m happy for Missy and the Cal team. 🙂

About Tony Carroll

Tony Carroll

The writer formerly known as "Troy Gennaro", better known as Tony Carroll, has been working with SwimSwam since April of 2013. Tony grew up in northern Indiana and started swimming in 2003 when his dad forced him to join the local swim team. Reluctantly, he joined on the condition that …

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