2015 Men’s NCAA DI Championships: Graphical Analysis of Team Race

 

Just as we did with the women’s NCAA Championship meet, we created three graphs to breakdown the team race. The men’s meet is expected to much closer than the women’s meet was. There are seven teams in the men’s team race this year. USC is the favorite if you only look at the psych sheet, but we expect the meet to very close with Texas after diving is added in. The top seven teams include USC, Texas, Florida, Michigan, NC State, California, and Georgia.

Texas should have three divers at the meet, compared to USC’s four, if they choose to bring all of their divers. It is always challenging to predict diving without a psych sheet, but as you can see in the third graph, we expect Texas’s divers to bump Texas into first place this weekend. We made our best effort to predict the results of diving as well based on last year’s results and the results from the Zone Championships. Below is a picture of a graph for each day and below it is a chart with the specific numbers for the above graph.
Screen Shot 2015-03-12 at 9.32.30 PM

 

NCAA Men’s Championships – Day 1

Teams 200 Fr Relay 500 Free 200 IM 50 Free 1M Diving 400 medley
Southern Cali 24 57 57 65 69 103
Texas 28 44 73 75 114 140
Florida 9 42 53 70 70 100
Michigan 26 35 56 68 68 100
NC State 40 52 52 89 89 103
California 30 30 59 65 65 93
Georgia 0 16 49 49.5 49.5 67.5

 

Screen Shot 2015-03-12 at 9.36.12 PM

 

NCAA Men’s Championships – Day 2

Teams 200 medley 400 IM 100 Fly 200 Free 100 breast 100 back 3m Diving 800 fr relay
Southern Cali 129 129 151 185.5 185.5 220.5 220.5 254.5
Texas 174 178.5 234.5 236 236 245 265 289
Florida 113 155.5 171.5 195 196.5 202.5 202.5 234.5
Michigan 140 153 153 165 190 190 190 230
NC State 135 138 138 154.5 154.5 154.5 154.5 184.5
California 121 140 153 156.5 169.5 187.5 187.5 199.5
Georgia 89.5 130.5 130.5 144.5 164.5 164.5 164.5 178.5

Screen Shot 2015-03-12 at 9.38.48 PM

 

NCAA Men’s Championships – Day 3

Teams 1650 free 200 back 100 free 200 breast 200 fly Platform 400 fr relay
Southern Cali 257.5 257.5 290 306 308 310 342
Texas 290 290 303 320 372 386 406
Florida 265.5 265.5 282.5 287.5 291.5 291.5 317.5
Michigan 241 243 254 258 280 280 310
NC State 196.5 213.5 238.5 238.5 250.5 250.5 290.5
California 199.5 229.5 231.5 247.5 247.5 247.5 261.5
Georgia 195.5 195.5 195.5 215.5 240.5 240.5 260.5

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Bart

No disrespect indeed to NC State, but I will eat my shorts if they beat Cal

As a faithful Wolfpack Alum, I’ll help you eat your shorts if they beat Cal as a means of celebration.

What are you thinkin?

If NC State beats Cal ill eat your shorts and mine Bart! hahaha no way!

This is an interesting starting point. I wouldnt count out NC State just yet. I can see them top 5 here. USC has a lot of points to give back to the field… I think Cal takes a chunk of those. Georgia will also be better than seed.

Should be a fight… I see a Texas win with a 4 team scrap for 2nd, all within 20 points of each other.

About Tony Carroll

Tony Carroll

The writer formerly known as "Troy Gennaro", better known as Tony Carroll, has been working with SwimSwam since April of 2013. Tony grew up in northern Indiana and started swimming in 2003 when his dad forced him to join the local swim team. Reluctantly, he joined on the condition that …

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