Caeleb Dressel Plays Swim Nerd Analyst On The ISCA International Cup

Gold Medal Minute presented by SwimOutlet.comBig announcement!  Olympic swimming champion Caeleb Dressel  will be producing another Dressel Dissects video, and it will be his 100 scm IM World Record from the ISL. So, stay tuned. He feels guilty for not producing one for awhile, but he assured me that episode is coming. See his YouTube channel here.

Caeleb was nice enough to drop-in for 15 minutes of conversation, and he unpacks his ISCA meet swims.  If you missed it, ISCA ran yards in the morning and meters at night. Caeleb popped a 1:40 200 yard fly and 3:44 400 IM just to let you know he still loves yards, and he was happy with his 48.8 100 meters free. He felt those swims were on-point for in-season races.

I tried to get to him to say he could drop a 1:36+ 200 yard fly shaven and suited, but he wouldn’t go there. I think he’s got that swim if he wants it. What do you think?

Caeleb’s got a mutual partner, SPIRE Academy, and he has high praise for their upcoming summer camps. You can see them here to sign up.

I play the U.S. Olympic Trials prediction game, but I’m going to play again after the Mission Pro Swim as well. My predictions might change a little. I think I played it too safe below. I’m curious if commenters will change their predictions between now and next week.

PREDICTIONS FOR U.S. OLYMPIC TRIALS

Dressel is the master at double tapers. His Olympics will be faster than the US Trials. BUT AT TRIALS I SEE:

  • 50 free – 21.3 (maybe a little slow)
  • 100 free – 47 point 2
  • 100 fly – 49 point 9

I want Caeleb to swim the 200 free, at least in prelims. I don’t know if he will. If he does, I see a 1:45 point 8 or 9, enough speed to show he’s a strong option for the 4×200 US relay. But who cares what I think? It is all about  what you think. Give me your best swimming analysis.

Follow Caeleb Dressel on Instagram here. 

Follow Gold Medal Mel on Instagram here

RECENT EPISODES

This is a Gold Medal Media production presented by SwimOutlet.com. Host Gold Medal Mel Stewart is a 3-time Olympic medalist and the co-founder of SwimSwam.com, a Swimming News website.

Opinions, beliefs and viewpoints of the interviewed guests do not necessarily reflect the opinions, beliefs, and viewpoints of the hosts, SwimSwam Partners, LLC and/or SwimSwam advertising partners.

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ZanBai
5 months ago

For trials:

21.25 50 free
47.33 100 free
49.86 100 fly

Ol' Longhorn
Reply to  Gold Medal Mel Stewart
5 months ago

I think you’re right on unless someone does something way unexpected in the last pro series meet (it won’t happen, but say Held — or any of the guys — does a 47.8 100 free or Rooney does a 50.6 in fly) to prompt a little more rest than planned.

Nathancaswell
Reply to  Gold Medal Mel Stewart
5 months ago

I think he is going to go faster than 19 worlds he is pro only going to pop an insane time because the week after isca the meet Caeleb was at I was there and I sucked the pool was shallow and awful he will go much faster in mission

Mr Piano
5 months ago

I hope Dressel rests a little bit more for Trials than he did for 2017 US Nationals and 2019 Mission Viejo meet. The 100 free is gonna be fast. Held was 47.3 in 2019, couple others were 47.6, Pieroni is looking really good right now, don’t take a risk and save too much of your taper for Tokyo.

Really excited to see his swims this week.

Mr Piano
Reply to  Gold Medal Mel Stewart
5 months ago

I think you’re right, Dressel has the greatest base of any sprinter alive, not only does this give him the ability to be fast throughout an entire week, it should get him great longevity as well.

Ol' Longhorn
Reply to  Mr Piano
5 months ago

Rick Demont would like a word. Dressel as active sprinter.

Aquajosh
Reply to  Gold Medal Mel Stewart
5 months ago

Since 2008, Troy has put Beisel, Caroline Burckle, Dressel, Dwyer, Lochte, and Vanderkaay on U.S. Olympic teams, and every one of them has swam faster at the Olympics. Troy knows how to nail that double taper and has the track record to prove it. All Caeleb (and Ryan, for that matter) has to do is swim fast enough to get his hand on the wall first or second in his events and he will swim faster in Tokyo. I do think he will swim the 200 free, especially since the 800 free relay has less overlap with his other events than he’s had at Worlds in the past.

Ol' Longhorn
Reply to  Aquajosh
5 months ago

Pretty much every top tier U.S. swimmer — male and female — swam faster at the Olympics than OTs since 2008. It wasn’t a Troy thing. And frankly, Lochte underperformed to expectations in his 2012 Olympics after his 400 IM death march.

Aquajosh
Reply to  Ol' Longhorn
5 months ago

Go back and look at the individual results just from 2016 Trials and from Rio. Out of 13 events each for a total of 26 individual swims, 10 of the women’s swims and 12 of the men’s were faster in finals at Olympic Trials than finals at the Olympics, including all four 200 breaststrokes and 3/4ths of swims in the 100 fly with Vollmer being the lone exception. I don’t think 42% is an insignificant number.

Sun Yangs Hammer
5 months ago

He looks like he got out of the pool two minutes before

Pvdh
5 months ago

Mel you coulda been 1:35 today <3

Mr Piano
Reply to  Pvdh
5 months ago

And your dad could have been 1:43 in the 200 free today <3

GMM
Reply to  Mr Piano
5 months ago

😂😂😂

GMM
Reply to  Pvdh
5 months ago

😂😂😂😂 I wish

Skoorbnagol
5 months ago

Olympic program is 9 days, the 4×200 falls perfectly for him and is nearer the start.
I think he swims it at trials, goes 1.45.6 and is a 1.43 high split at the games.
He was 54.7/54.4 for 1:49.2 at ISCA, when rested turning in 51.0 must feel so easy.
If team USA doesn’t use him them the Olympic streak continuing is in serious doubt. At the games he drops a wonder split leaving us all to debate …. would he of won the 200free?

Ol' Longhorn
Reply to  Skoorbnagol
5 months ago

As we wonder whether he’d win the 200 IM, the 100 breast, and whatever else people have proposed here. smh. He said it: you swim it or you don’t — no hypotheticals.

Blackflag82
Reply to  Ol' Longhorn
5 months ago

But how well could he do in the 400 meter breast????????

THEO
Reply to  Ol' Longhorn
5 months ago

Hypotheticals are really fun though!

Anonymous
Reply to  Skoorbnagol
5 months ago

ISCA was a horrible meet for most people trying to go fast. The pool was 4′ deep in most lanes, crowded as all get out, and the prelims sessions lasted about an hour as there were too many swimmers entered, and people were constantly bugging him and the other pros. I think he will do better at the PSS.

Penguin
5 months ago

Here’s a fun question: who do you think is the most versatile male swimmer in the world right now (by your own subjective standards)? Dressel? Scott? Andrew? Kolesnikov? Seto? or other

Penguin
Reply to  Penguin
5 months ago

Dressel: will probably win the most individual medals of the games, can do anything in SCY

Scott: World-class 100/200 freer and 200 IMer who also has an elite SCM 400 IM and can compete in 100/200 back and fly

Andrew: might be first ever American Olympian in 50 free and 200 IM, elite in all 50s, competitive in all 100s minus the 100 free (so far)

Kolesnikov: world-class backstroker from 50 to 200, just threw down a top-10 ever 100 free, and goes 50 point in 100 SCM IM

Seto: best 400 IMer right now, 1:52 200 fly and has a casual sub-minute 100 breast

Who else?

The unoriginal Tim
Reply to  Penguin
5 months ago

Milak. 2Fly, 1Fly, 2Free. Strong chance for 3 individual medals. Need to see a bit more of his 200 Free to know if it is solid enough.

Penguin
Reply to  Penguin
5 months ago

Milak and even Seli could be thrown on to this list.

Sunday Morning Grind
Reply to  Penguin
5 months ago

Scott also has a 15:10 or something faster in the 1500 SCM. I’d give him a 3:49 400 free and 4:08 400 IM (given his SCM time) if he swam them.

Peli
Reply to  Penguin
5 months ago

Seto also has one of the top times in 200 breast (scm tho) and can swim a mean 100 fly and 200 free

Last edited 5 months ago by Peli
Ol' Longhorn
Reply to  Penguin
5 months ago

Regan Smith.

Hswimmer
Reply to  Ol' Longhorn
5 months ago

I agree. Just not breaststroke 🥴

Penguin
Reply to  Ol' Longhorn
5 months ago

see: “male”

Ol' Longhorn
Reply to  Penguin
5 months ago

Reading is hard.

coachymccoachface
Reply to  Penguin
5 months ago

Andrew Seliskar is the most versatile swimmer I’ve ever seen. He hasn’t put it together LCM yet but he’s unreal

Penguin
Reply to  coachymccoachface
5 months ago

Seli can do distance free (ntl high school record in 500), mid-d free (1:45 lcm 200), decent sprint free, breaststroke (ncaa champion in 200), fly (1:55 200 as a teen, 51 100), IM (NAG record holder in 200/400 and1:38/1:58 200)… and his WORST is probably sprint back, yet Cal still put him on the medley relays doing back that year when murphy and pebley were at a LCM meet (2016).

PVSFree
Reply to  Penguin
5 months ago

What is it with super versatile swimmers and not being able to swim backstroke? Dressel can’t do it either

THEO
Reply to  PVSFree
5 months ago

Ryan Lochte enters the chat! Also Phelps! Also Hagino! Also sort of Cseh! Also Manadou! just so happens that *at this exact moment in time* the all-star versatile swimmers are not backstrokers. Historically I don’t think that holds up at all.

Swimmerb
Reply to  Penguin
5 months ago

Seto for sure:
LC:
4:06 400 IM
1:52 200 fly
1:55 200 IM
59/2:08 100/200 Br
1:46 200 free

SC:
3:54 400 IM
1:48 200 fly
1:50 200 IM
2:01 200Br
56 100 Br
14:48 1500 Free

I found breast and 1500 free times on FINA website…

Penguin
Reply to  Swimmerb
5 months ago

my ranking would be 1. Dressel 2. (close second) Seto 3. Scott if you take into account both long course and short course.

Sunday Morning Grind
5 months ago

47.3 would be cutting to close for comfort for me. Held has proven he’s got the goods to be there and others (Adrian, Apple, Pieroni, Farris etc.) have thrown down the relay splits to show that they could go 47.3 if they hit a great taper at trials.

flex tape cant fix that
Reply to  Sunday Morning Grind
5 months ago

I don’t think Adrian is going to go a best time at age 32

PFA
Reply to  flex tape cant fix that
5 months ago

True but crazier things have happened. But I do think the free relay would be something like dressel, held, Apple, Adrian that’s just my opinion for finals but anything can happen.

Penguin
5 months ago

Dressel should be rested a good amount.

50 free 21.14
he was 20.4 SCM in a fastskin that I don’t think helped him much… in the middle of HEAVY training, and he barely swims the 50 free in season, so he could surprise us here. (20.4 scm = 21.19 lcm)

100 free 47.12
this is the key event. he can’t play around here.

100 fly 49.95
For the 50 free / 100 fly overlap, he has to focus a bit more on the 50. He won’t do anything surprising here.

200 free 1:44.50
He’ll be fresh and we’ll finally get the Dressel 200 free we’ve been waiting for. He’ll swim it.

Basically, I see him going… Read more »

Mr Piano
Reply to  Penguin
5 months ago

I really hope he doesn’t swim the 200 free at all… even on the relay. I hope he wins 3 individual events instead of trying to go for the 200 free and then maybe not having enough for the rest. He needs to be at his best to beat Chalmers in the 100, and at his best to win the 50 free shortly after a 100 fly.

Penguin
Reply to  Mr Piano
5 months ago

If anyone can do it, it’s Dressel. His NCAAs really prepared him for meets like this. He’d only have to swim the 200 free once at the Olympics. And the US needs him. But you have a point. 100 free will be tough.

Penguin
Reply to  Penguin
5 months ago

Keep in mind his best time of 1:47 is from the same meet he went 52.2 in the 100 fly.

About Gold Medal Mel Stewart

Gold Medal Mel Stewart

MEL STEWART Jr., aka Gold Medal Mel, won three Olympic medals at the 1992 Olympic Games. Mel's best event was the 200 butterfly. He is a former World, American, and NCAA Record holder in the 200 butterfly. As a writer/producer and sports columnist, Mel has contributed to Yahoo Sports, Universal Sports, …

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