Michael Phelps appears to be pondering adding 200 butterfly to his event schedule. In terms of his Olympic medal count, this is “potentially” a positive sign.
CONFESSION: Since Phelps comeback I’ve wondered if Coach Bowman was gently suggesting event options. I can hear Bowman saying something like this…
Michael, 200 fly isn’t a tough race. It’s pacing, distance per stroke, and you could probably medal in Rio off your years and years of aerobic-base already banked.
I have no clue what their conversations are, but it’s fun to consider. I could just as easily imagine Bowman being blunt:
Michael….not racing 200 fly, for you, is an enormous opportunity loss. You need to do it. 200 fly offers you everything, a way to focus on more challenging training, potentially another medal. Do it…. I’m telling you, you need to do it. Doooo iiiit…
Does anyone else want to take a crack at what their conversations might be? Share in the comments.
Phelps looked rough at the Charlotte Pro Swim. I think that’s a great sign, and he said he’s done more 200 butterfly training in the last 6 months than all of the years combined since 2008.
Looking forward to the 2016 Olympic Games in Rio, I think the competition will be all about medal-count with respect to Phelps, all about sealing his legacy with a mind-boggling number, seemingly unreachable. I think he’ll end his career with “at least” 27 medals, meaning he wins 5 more in Brazil. Yes, I’d like to see Phelps swim personal best times, break a world record, but at the end of the day, the narrative is medal count. Moreover, I don’t think the color of the medals will matter when we look back 10, 20, 50 years from now.
MEL MEDAL PREDICTIONS FOR THE 2016 OLYMPIC GAMES
I’ll go this far. Phelps wins 5 more medals. I think he swims 100 and 200 butterfly, 200 IM, 4×100 free relay, 4×200 free relay and 4×100 medley. That’s six events. If Phelps has an off race, he’s still got five more races to medal. As mentioned above, I don’t think the color of the medals matter, but I think — at this point in the ramp up to Rio — Phelps will win 3 gold, 1 silver and 1 bronze. FINAL THOUGHT: If Phelps struggles, has an off Olympics in Rio, I think winning merely one more medal matters. 22 medals is already beyond what most of us could’ve imagined. One more makes the medal-count that much harder to reach for future Olympic stars.
What are your Michael Phelps predictions for the 2016 Olympic Games?
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