Scoring the NCAA Men’s D1 Pre-Selection Psych Sheet

The pre-selection psych sheet was released this morning. The main purpose of this document is figuring out who qualified for the meet (our cut line analysis here). However, while this isn’t the final official psych sheet, the cut line will fall well below the scoring swimmers at 16th place and any event changes will be minor. Therefore scoring out this psych sheet gives a fairly valid impression of where teams stand heading into the meet. The biggest missing variable is diving which isn’t on the pre-selection psych sheet.

NC State lead the way with 385 points. Indiana are next with 350.5, then Cal with 340.5, and Texas with 322.

No one is seeded with a perfect 60 points. Auburn’s Hugo Gonzalez leads the way with 56. He is followed by Vini Lanza of Indiana with 52, Mark Szaranek of Florida with 49, Ryan Held of NC State with 48, and Coleman Stewart of NC State with 47.

Caeleb Dressel is seeded with only 40 as his 100 fly time has him seeded 78th. Texas’s highest scoring swimmer on the psych sheet is Joseph Schooling with 35 points. There should be plenty of movement from the psych sheet at the meet.

The highest single individual event scores are Indiana with 37 in the 100 breast, NC State with 36 in the 100 free, and Michigan with 36 in the 500.

Team Scores

Team Psych Points Individual Relay
1 NC State 385 213 172
2 Indiana 350.5 198.5 152
3 California 340.5 180.5 160
4 Texas 322 186 136
5 Florida 302 148 154
6 Michigan 218.5 148.5 70
7 Southern Cali 166 82 84
8 Louisville 152 72 80
9 Auburn 144 102 42
10 Stanford 129.5 85.5 44
11 Alabama 101 29 72
12 Minnesota 95 63 32
13 South Carolina 84 74 10
14 Texas A&M 83 37 46
15 Tennessee 80.5 10.5 70
16 Harvard 77 52 25
17 Ohio St 75 34 41
18 Arizona 60.5 38.5 22
19 Florida St 53 11 42
20 Georgia 49.5 49.5 0
21 Missouri 47 9 38
22 Virginia 46 26 20
23 Arizona St 43 21 22
24 Notre Dame 37.5 37.5 0
25 Cornell 27 27 0
25 Grand Canyon University 27 17 10
27 Missouri St. M 12 12 0
28 Denver 9 9 0
28 Georgia Tech 9 9 0
30 West Virginia 8 8 0
31 Virginia Tech 7 7 0
31 Utah 7 7 0
33 Pacific 6 0 6
34 Loyola University Maryland 5 5 0
35 Kentucky 2 2 0
35 Penn 2 2 0
35 UNLV M 2 2 0

Individual Points

Name School Projected Points
Gonzalez, Hugo Auburn 56
Lanza, Vini Indiana 52
Szaranek, Mark Florida 49
Held, Ryan NC State 48
Stewart, Coleman NC State 47
Seliskar, Andrew California 46
Ipsen, Anton Oerskov NC State 44
Auboeck, Felix Michigan 42
Finnerty, Ian Indiana 41.5
Dressel, Caeleb Florida 40
Ress, Justin NC State 38
Farris, Dean Harvard 37
Apple, Zachary Auburn 35
Schooling, Joseph Texas 35
Katz, Austin Texas 32
McHugh, Conner Minnesota 32
Pieroni, Blake Indiana 32
Becker, Bowen Minnesota 31
Jackson, Tate Texas 31
Lynch, Justin California 30
Brock, Levi Indiana 29
Mahmoud, Akaram South Carolina 28
Shoults, Grant Stanford 28
Vargas Jacobo, Ricardo Michigan 28
Yeadon, Zach Notre Dame 28
Evdokimov, Alex Cornell 27
Switkowski, Jan Florida 27
Josa, Matthew California 26
Vazaios, Andreas NC State 26
Minuth, Fynn South Carolina 25
Samy, Mohamed Indiana 25
Condorelli, Santo Southern Cali 24
Castillo Luna, Mauro Texas A&M 22
DeVine, Abrahm Stanford 21.5
Haas, Townley Texas 21
Montague, Jacob Michigan 21
Acevedo, Javier Georgia 20.5
Acosta, Marcelo Louisville 20
Albiero, Nicolas Louisville 20
Baqlah, Khader Florida 20
Quah, Zheng California 18
Lense, Noah Ohio St 17.5
Nikolaev, Mark Grand Canyon University 17
Schubert, Ted Virginia 17
Fantoni, Gabriel Indiana 16
Swanson, Charlie Michigan 16
Wright, Justin Arizona 16
Almeida, Brandonn South Carolina 15
Glinta, Robert Southern Cali 15
Mulcare, Patrick Southern Cali 15
Novak, Brennan Harvard 15
Ringgold, Brett Texas 15
Somov, Evgenii Louisville 15
Harty, Ryan Texas 14
White, Evan Michigan 14
Grieshop, Sean California 13
Hoppe, Connor California 13
Norman, Nick California 13
Pomajevich, Sam Texas 13
Reid, Christopher Alabama 13
Tribuntsov, Ralf Southern Cali 13
Cope, Tommy Michigan 12.5
Delakis, Paul Ohio St 12.5
Bish, Blair Missouri St. M 12
Craig, Cameron Arizona St 12
Litherland, Jay Georgia 12
Bentz, Gunnar Georgia 11
Holoda, Peter Auburn 11
Kaleoaloha, Kanoa Florida St 11
Newkirk, Jeff Texas 11
Ogren, Curtis Stanford 11
Powers, Paul Michigan 11
Thorne, Nick Arizona 11
Vissering, Carsten Southern Cali 11
Dobbs, Chatham Arizona 10.5
Thomas, Mike California 10.5
Howard, Robert Alabama 10
Bonetti, Brock Texas A&M 9
Loncar, Anton Denver 9
Poti, Zachary Arizona St 9
Sweetser, True Stanford 9
Armstrong, Jake West Virginia 8
Molacek, Jacob NC State 8
Claverie, Carlos Louisville 7
Egan, Liam Stanford 7
Gurevich, Etay Louisville 7
Roberts, Jonathan Texas 7
Ungur, Paul Utah 7
Clark, Joe Virginia 6
Rooney, Maxime Florida 6
Sendyk, Pawel California 6
Szabo, Norbert Virginia Tech 6
Wielinski, Jacob Missouri 6
Plaschka, Justin Notre Dame 5.5
Calloni, Johannes Stanford 5
Cono, Ben Loyola University Maryland 5
Ferraro, Christian Georgia Tech 5
Peribonio, Tom South Carolina 5
Tybur, Jonathan Texas A&M 5
Decoursey, Kyle Tennessee 4.5
Babinet, Jeremy Michigan 4
Carter, Dylan Southern Cali 4
Coetzee, Ryan Tennessee 4
Hoffer, Ryan California 4
Kaliszak, Luke Alabama 4
Pumputis, Caio Georgia Tech 4
Stewart, Sam Texas 4
Whitacre, Robert Notre Dame 4
Barone, Jack Ohio St 3
Blaskovic, Bruno Indiana 3
Casey, Brendan Virginia 3
Guest, James Georgia 3
Higgins, Walker Georgia 3
Liang, Andrew Stanford 3
Manganiello, Blake Florida 3
Schreuders, Mikel Missouri 3
Shebat, John Texas 3
Taylor, Michael Florida 3
Andrew, Mark Penn 2
Gonzales, Brad UNLV M 2
Harting, Zach Louisville 2
Jones, Isaac Kentucky 2
Stevens, Peter Tennessee 2
Stuart, Hennessey NC State 2
Waddell, Zane Alabama 2
Barna, Andrej Louisville 1
Dudzinski, Ryan Stanford 1
Loy, Andrew Ohio St 1
Martinez, Jose Texas A&M 1
Sand, Carson California 1
Stone, Lane Virginia Tech 1
Wich-Glasen, Nils South Carolina 1
Wieser, Chris Arizona 1

Top 10 Teams Single Event Scores

NC State Indiana California Texas Florida Michigan Southern Cali Louisville Auburn Stanford
800 Freestyle Relay 32 40 30 28 34 24 4 14 2 8
200 Freestyle Relay 40 22 34 32 18 26 24 8 0 14
500 Freestyle 15 0 5 6 4 36 0 9 0 21
200 IM 7 16.5 27.5 0 31 13.5 0 0 20 16
50 Freestyle 29 0 20 21 20 11 9 1 15 0
400 Medley Relay 32 40 34 30 28 6 26 22 10 14
400 IM 9 0 17 4 17 14 0 7 20 11
100 Butterfly 31 17 27 20 13 2 9 0 0 3
200 Freestyle 13 31 0 26 22 5 4 0 7 0
100 Breaststroke 0 37 14 0 0 19 11 6 0 0
100 Backstroke 25 16 0 15 0 0 27 11 0 1
200 Medley Relay 28 24 32 14 40 0 8 30 2 0
1650 Freestyle 20 0 20 0 3 29 0 11 0 28
200 Backstroke 14 11 0 41 3 0 16 0 16 5.5
100 Freestyle 36 18 6 25 20 0 6 0 24 0
200 Breaststroke 0 32 17 0 15 19 0 16 0 0
200 Butterfly 14 20 27 28 0 0 0 11 0 0
400 Freestyle Relay 40 26 30 32 34 14 22 6 28 8

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Steve Swims
6 years ago

NC State has been projected first for the past couple of years. They just can’t execute.

WillSwim
6 years ago

With the exception of of Chase Kalish’s 400 IM, every other current NCAA men’s swimming record is held by one of Joseph Schooling’s teammates. I think that’s kinda neat.

Stephen
6 years ago

Most viewers can probably agree on the top 5 on the list ending up being the top 5 overall, but it will almost certainly be a different order. I’m personally pumped for the relays this year, no real run away favorites in any of them.

HulkSwim
6 years ago

I find it hard to believe Ryan Hoffer will only score 4 points

Klorn8d
6 years ago

Last year Indiana scored 62 points in diving and none of those guys graduated

Hambone
6 years ago

As a Cal fan/alum I feel it’s my duty to initiate the annual moan and groan session about diving points…….and, begin…..

Wethorn
Reply to  Hambone
6 years ago

Texas divers just got 1st (Campbell), 4th (Windle) and 7th (Cornish) on 1M at Zones. Campbell and Windle already qualified, Cornish now sits in the 20th spot from Zone D, but I don’t understand the fuzzy math of qualifying in diving.

Bay City Tex
Reply to  Wethorn
6 years ago

Windle just set the collegiate record for platform
recently. He will score high in platform. Campbell high in 1 and 3 meter. Windle will probably score
on boards as well.

A non-e mouse
6 years ago

Think it’s gonna be
1. Cal
2. Texas
3. NC State
4. Florida
5. IU

Gonna be an exciting team race for sure!

Korn
Reply to  A non-e mouse
6 years ago

Don’t forget IU and Texas gets big points from diving

A non-e mouse
Reply to  Korn
6 years ago

I am just skeptical that the IU swimmers will show up, they certainly underperformed last year.

I honestly flipped a coin between Cal and Texas, it’s gonna be really close

wethorn
6 years ago

I’ve been scoring and predicting the winner of this meet for the past 10+ years, and I think I’ve only missed the winner once. I don’t score the psych sheet, I predict ups/downs based on best times from this year and last year’s NCAA meet. As of right now, I have Texas with 17 up, 11 down and Cal with 15 up, 14 down, including diving. With relays added, I have a final score of Texas 439, Cal 432. Which is the same thing as saying this is dead even and whoever hits their taper better and wants it more is likely to win.

Simply scoring the psyche sheet will significantly underestimate Texas. Most of Texas top 10 guys… Read more »

Caleb
Reply to  wethorn
6 years ago

I agree with pretty much all of that except the breaststroke issue is overblown. Their medleys will final either way; a second faster or slower on the 100 breast leg (or half a second on the 50) won’t move them more than a couple of places. It’s like a 10-point swing. Whereas, whether John Shebat is healed from his injury is about a 30-point swing. Or whether Roberts can make 3 finals again, etc. They don’t have any margin for error like they did before.

Wethorn
Reply to  Caleb
6 years ago

Agree Shebat’s health matters more than breast on the relays, but in a meet this tight, everything matters. Say Texas gets 2nd in both medleys if they had a good breast leg, but only 6th with their current breast leg. That’s 20 points, which could cost them the meet.

Ed’s Medley lineup will be the most fascinating coaching decision to watch. Schooling may be he best option, but how do you take him off fly, where he dominates? I think Tate Jackson’s emergence could be key, because he can handle free, which can allow Ringgold to move to fly. That wasn’t really an option a week ago. Who else on the team can pop a good breast leg? Shebat?… Read more »

marklewis
Reply to  wethorn
6 years ago

That’s a pretty good track record at predicting. Do you work with numbers and statistics a lot?

Texas is not as good as last year, but they still have some depth, like in backstroke.

If it comes down to the last relay, they’ve got a fantastic 400 free relay team.

ArtVanDeLegh10
Reply to  wethorn
6 years ago

What year were you wrong, who did you have winning, who won, was it close, and why do you think you were off?

Admin
Reply to  wethorn
6 years ago

As it turns out, most years, it’s not that hard to pick the winner. I haven’t looked at every year, but I think the only one we missed was Georgia in 2016 – we picked Stanford, who would have won without that relay DQ to open the meet.

But, like you said, this year is different. Cal vs. Texas is almost a dead heat. You’re dead-on when you say it’s going to come down to taper. I think there’s become an almost urban legend around both teams, because they’ve had some phenomenal swims, that they hit their tapers or training or championship prep or however you want to describe it perfectly every year. But, when you look at results, they… Read more »