The men’s and women’s relays at the 2016 Olympic Games will be one of the most competitive we’ve seen in recent history. As evidenced at the FINA World Championships last year, smaller nations are gaining depth and stepping up big time, while the usual powerhouses of USA and Australia aren’t as clear of favorites as they may have been in years past.
In Kazan, we saw Great Britain’s 4x200m freestyle relay take the gold in the men’s race and secure another win, along with a World Record, in the non-Olympic mixed 4x100m medley relay. Meanwhile, the men of both the United States and Australia failed to even final in the 4x100m freestyle race.
Yes, we’re entering ‘Trials Season’ with the athletes Japan, Great Britain, Australia and Canada among others all gearing up to throw down qualifying times at their country’s respective Trials meets. Most likely we haven’t seen the fastest combinations of athletes that will enter the pool sequentially once gold medals are on the line in Brazil. But, what if the Olympics were tomorrow? Let’s take a look at the countries which would be on the Rio roster qualification list for the men’s relays if the cut-off stood at today.
First, as a refresher, here are the FINA qualification rules concerning relays:
- There shall be a maximum of sixteen (16) qualified teams in each relay event, for a total of 96 relay teams.
- Each NOC may enter only one (1) team in each relay event.
- The first 12 placed teams in each relay event at the 16th FINA World Championships in Kazan (RUS) in 2015 shall automatically qualify for the relay events at the 2016 Olympic Games.
- The remaining four (4) teams per relay event will be the teams with the fastest times in the FINA World Rankings as of 31 May 2016 achieved during the qualification period, in the qualifying events approved by FINA, from 1 March 2015 to 31 May 2016.
- All swimmers entered in individual events can be used in relays, even if they have not achieved the OST / “B” Time for the corresponding stroke and distance of the relay in which they are entered.
- RELAY ONLY SWIMMERS:
- Each NOC may enter additional swimmers for relays only (Relay-Only Swimmers), provided that they have achieved at least the OST / “B” Time for the corresponding stroke and distance of the relay in which they are entered.
- If an NOC enters relay-only swimmers for a specific event, these swimmers must swim either in the heat or final of that relay event. Should a relay-only swimmer not compete, this will lead to the disqualification of the respective team in the final.
One final note: even when we see the list of top 16 teams as of May 31st, there are no guarantees we won’t see a last-minute scratch in Rio. It has happened, as Japan, for instance, scratched the men’s 400 freestyle relay prior to the start of the 2012 London Games.
Men’s 4x100m Freestyle Relay
|1. France 3:10.74*||9. Belgium 3:15.50*|
|2. Russia 3:11.19*||10. Great Britain 3:15.70*|
|3. Italy 3:12.53*||11. Germany 3:16.01*|
|4. Brazil 3:13.22*||11. USA 3:16.01*|
|5. Poland 3:14.12*||13. Australia 3:16.34|
|6. Japan 3:15.04*||14. Spain 3:16.77|
|7. China 3:15.41*||15. Greece 3:16.83|
|8. Canada 3:15.94*||16. Argentina 3:17.41|
With the first 12 teams being set from Kazan, the only real shake-up in terms of who would ultimately qualify will potentially occur within the bottom 4 teams. Notice USA barely made it to the top 12, sitting just .33 of a second ahead of Australia, who needs to maintain at least a 16th-best time in the world as of May 31st to qualify.
However, with sprinter James Magnussen back in competition, having had to sit out Kazan due to shoulder surgery, and young gun Kyle Chalmers proving he’s the real deal, the Aussies should be more than safe to land a spot to contend for a lane in Rio finals.
Men’s 4x200m Freestyle Relay
|1. Great Britain 7:04.33*||9. Brazil 7:10.20|
|2. USA 7:04.75*||10. Spain 7:11.39*|
|3. Australia 7:05.34*||11. Japan 7:11.59*|
|4. Russia 7:06.89*||12. France 7:12.68*|
|5. Germany 7:09.01*||13. Denmark 7:13.72*|
|6. Belgium 7:09.64*||14. Italy 7:13.77|
|7. Netherlands 7:09.75*||15. China 7:16.67|
|8. Poland 7:10.34*||16. Canada 7:17.33|
The United States earned the runner-up spot by just .42 of a second in Kazan, but it was enough to establish Great Britain as a true gold medal contender come the Rio Olympic Games. The only question is if GBR can replicate their outstanding performance, highlighted by World Champion James Guy‘s insanely-fast anchor split of 1:44.74.
Also, with Australia less than a second away from USA, the stars and stripes will need their best line-up primed and ready to take the lane in Rio. The foursome in Kazan was a kind of mixed bag, not entirely representative of who would most likely make the final 4 or even 6 in the men’s 200m freestyle at U.S. Olympic Trials, the method by which U.S. relay slots are earned.
Ryan Lochte and Conor Dwyer look good to finish top 6 in the individual 200 to win a relay spot, but look to the young stars of Maxime Rooney and Townley Haas to make their mark at Trials and possibly add their names to the 800m freestyle relay roster.
Men’s 4x100m Medley Relay
|1. USA 3:29.93*||9. Poland 3:34.34*|
|2. Australia 3:30.08*||10. Canada 3:40.40|
|3. France 3:30.50*||11. Italy 3:34.59*|
|4. Great Britain 3:30.67*||11. China 3:35.21*|
|5. Russia 3:30.90*||13. Lithuania 3:35.30*|
|6. Japan 3:31.10*||14. Greece 3:37.86|
|7. Germany 3:32.16*||15. Belarus 3:38.23|
|8. Brazil 3:32.68*||16. Singapore 3:38.25|
Additionally, GBR’s sprinter Ben Proud has been on a tear as of late, clocking a personal best 100m freestyle (48.52) and scoring a new GBR National Record in the 50m freestyle (21.73) already in 2016, so his anchor could be just the push the squad would need to get them over the edge and possibly on the podium in Rio.Although still a stellar time, Great Britain’s effort isn’t reflective of its fastest possible scenario, as World Record Holder Adam Peaty was absent from the relay squad in Kazan. GBR teammate Ross Murdoch threw down a very respectable split of 59.20, but seeing how Peaty owns the individual 100m breaststroke world record at 57.92, he’s almost guaranteed to drop that leg by at least a second, edging GBR up in the rankings.