2019 World Champs Preview: Teenagers Chasing for Women’s 200 Back Title

2019 FINA WORLD AQUATICS CHAMPIONSHIPS

  • All sports: Friday, July 12 – Sunday, July 28, 2019
  • Pool swimming: Sunday, July 21 – Sunday, July 28, 2019
  • The Nambu University Municipal Aquatics Center, Gwangju, Korea
  • Meet site
  • FinaTV Live Stream
  • Live results

WOMEN’S 200M BACKSTROKE

  • World Record: 2:04.06, Missy Franklin (USA), 2012
  • World Championship Record: 2:04.76, Missy Franklin (USA), 2013
  • World Junior Record: 2:06.53, Regan Smith (USA), 2018
  • Defending World Champion: Emily Seebohm (AUS), 2:05.68

In the almost two years since 2017’s World Champs, the scene has changed dramatically. No longer are we waiting for WR-holder Missy Franklin to mount a comeback. The defending World Champion, Australia’s Emily Seebohm, did not have a great meet at Aussie Trials and missed their Worlds roster. Seebohm’s 2:05.68 winning time from 2017 is the fastest performance since before Rio, too.

The next name that immediately comes to mind is Hungarian Katinka Hosszu, who was sucker-punched with an ambush by Seebohm over the final 50 meters in 2017 at her home Worlds. That was the second time in two years that a competitor ran down the Iron Lady after American Maya Dirado pulled the upset to win the event in Rio.

Despite her two silvers at the last two major international championships (2018 was a split year, with Pan Pacs, Euros, Commonwealth Games, and Asian Games fragmenting the world’s top talent), Hosszu ranks outside of the top 5 this season.

At the top is upstart Margherita Panziera of Italy, who has broken out onto the scene and proved she can swim with the big names. Panziera is the world leader at 2:05.72, a time done at the Italian Trials in April which nearly eclipsed Seebohm’s winning time from 2017. Panziera first broke Federica Pellegrini’s 200 back Italian Record just last year, when she went 2:07.16 at the Sette Colli Trophy to take almost a full second off of Pellegrini’s record. After a best of 2:09.43 from 2017, Panziera dropped down to 2:06.18 in 2018 to win the European title after breaking the Pellegrini record, and she went on to dip into 2:05 territory this spring. A newer presence, Panziera feels like a lock for the podium.

She’s just ahead of former 100 back WR-holder Kylie Masse, who has proven to be one of the world’s top backstrokers with her 2017 World title in the 100 back (a race in which she set the WR). While Panziera is the hot new name, Masse (who isn’t exactly an *old* name) is also the defending Commonwealth Games Champion. Whereas Panziera’s 2:05.72 leads the world, Masse went 2:05-high in 2017, 2018, and then this spring at Canadian Trials with her lifetime best and Canadian record 2:05.94.

Taylor Ruck, 2018 Lausanne Cup, photo: Kevin Reust

In the line of new blood, this event has four teenagers with very real potential for gold in Gwangju. That’d be 19-year-old Taylor Ruck of Canada, 19-year-old Minna Atherton of Australia, 18-year-old Kaylee McKeown of Australia, and 17-year-old Regan Smith of the USA.

Ruck has a year of Stanford training and racing under her belt and finished just behind Masse at Commonwealth Games last year, and then claimed silver at Pan Pacs behind USA’s Kathleen Baker and ahead of Smith. McKeown set the WJR in 2017 at 2:06.76 where she’d finish in 4th in Budapest, just behind Baker and off of the podium, while Masse was 5th and Smith was 8th. At Aussie Trials this spring, on the final day, McKeown (2:06.35) and Atherton (2:06.85) denied Seebohm a ticket to Gwangju in the reigning World Champ’s final shot at making the team. McKeown continues to slowly progress, while Atherton went a 2:08 in 2016, plateaued, and has since revved things right back up.

Kylie Masse (photo: Rafael Domeyko)

Smith, meanwhile, dropped a world-class 58.4 in the 100 back in season earlier this year, while her 2:06.47 from this spring is just hundredths off of her performances at 2018 Nationals and 2018 Pan Pacs. Her in-season speed is unprecedented for her, and with Baker having to pull out of the 200 IM due to an injury and having not raced since March, Smith is the favored American this summer. If Baker has rested and recovered, though, there’s no reason she isn’t a strong candidate for a podium finish.

Following Hosszu as the second Hungarian is Katalin Burian. The 24-year-old swam to a bronze at the 2018 European Champs in a best time of 2:07.43, and she’s been 2:08.50 to rank 10th so far this season.

Daria Ustinova of Russia returns after finishing 7th in 2017 at 2:07.35. This year, though, she’s been just 2:10.30 from Russian Nationals. At that meet, Ustinova placed second behind 17-year-old Anastasia Avdeeva, who sits at #21 in the world at 2:09.89.

TOP 8 PICKS

PLACE SWIMMER COUNTRY SEASON BEST LIFETIME BEST
1 Kylie Masse Canada 2:05.94 2:05.94
2 Margherita Panziera Italy 2:05.72 2:05.72
3 Regan Smith USA 2:06.47 2:06.47
4 Taylor Ruck Canada 2:06.70 2:06.36
5 Kaylee McKeown Australia 2:06.35 2:06.35
6 Kathleen Baker USA 2:08.08 2:06.14
7 Minna Atherton Australia 2:06.82 2:06.82
8 Katalin Burian Hungary 2:08.50 2:07.43

Darkhorse: Liu Yaxin of China. Liu earned the gold at the 2018 Asian Games, touching in 2:07.65. She hasn’t gone a time in the top 25 this season, but a 2:07 may well place into the top 8 this year despite the field being as tough as it is, and she made it to the 2016 Olympic final where she touched 7th. 

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Lane 8
4 years ago

I don’t think Masse is going to win this. She’s only been 2:05.94 this season (lifetime best) but Panziera is rising quickly and has been 2:05.72, also a lifetime best.

manoj ghimire
4 years ago

smith PB is 2.06.43 at last us nationals

75Fly
4 years ago

I think people are sleeping on Ruck. She went a 58.4 in the 100 back at trials only a couple weeks after the NCAA taper AND the fact she has proven to be an amazing 200 swimmer in general. I bet she goes 2:05.5

Aquajosh
4 years ago

1. Panziera 2:05.0
2. Smith 2:05.2
3. Masse 2:05.5
4. McKeown 2:05.9

Taa
4 years ago

Smith then Hozzsu then ???. When it comes down to the big race its almost never as fast you expect it. So I think Smith wins in 205high and then everyone else at 206

Marklewis
Reply to  Taa
4 years ago

They all have the ability to swim 2:05. I am thinking the intensity of the competition will push one of them to swim a 2:04 to win the title.

Anonymous
Reply to  Marklewis
4 years ago

Three of them have shown the ability to swim between 2:05.7 and 2:05.9, doesn’t seem like a 2:04 will come easily. Missy is the only person to be under 2:05.6 textile, getting one person under Seebohm’s 2017 time would be huge.

Lou
4 years ago

I don’t see Masse taking this one

MTK
Reply to  Lou
4 years ago

She’s a good bet for bronze I feel, but her 200 isn’t as consistent as her 100 to make her a gold medal favorite.

Observer2537
4 years ago

Masse and Ruck 1-2

Marklewis
4 years ago

Regan Smith is getting better every year. That means she should top her time from last year and swim a 2;05 or better.

She will be first or second, not third.

About Karl Ortegon

Karl Ortegon

Karl Ortegon studied sociology at Wesleyan University in Middletown, CT, graduating in May of 2018. He began swimming on a club team in first grade and swam four years for Wesleyan.

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