2017 Santa Clara PSS Analysis: Darkhorses Emerge Ahead of U.S. Trials

2017 ARENA PRO SWIM SERIES – SANTA CLARA

The 2017 Arena Pro Swim Series stop is in the books, as competition concluded with Sunday night’s finals at the George F. Haines Aquatic Center. Several swimmers used this meet as a tuneup for the upcoming U.S. Nationals, which will also serve as the 2017 World Championship Trials. Throughout the meet, a few swimmers made the case that they could surprise us in Indianapolis.

One up-and-comer to watch is Cal’s Michael Jensen, who just finished his freshman season with the Golden Bears. In the men’s 100 free, Jensen demolished his lifetime best, breaking the 50-second barrier for the first time. He brought it down from a 50.08 all the way to a 49.35, finishing 3rd behind only U.S. Olympians Nathan Adrian and Caeleb Dressel.

The women’s 400 free spots will likely be occupied by Katie Ledecky and Leah Smith, but Stanford’s Katie Drabot has emerged as a darkhorse in that race. At the beginning of the season, Drabot’s best time in the event was a 4:13.29. She’s been dropping time throughout the season, bringing it to a 4:11.39 before last weekend. In Santa Clara, she made a huge drop, knocking 3 seconds off her lifetime best to win the event with a 4:08.07.

Fellow Stanford freshman Allie Szekely made huge strides in the 400 IM, and is now shaing up to be a potential finalist at World Champs Trials. Szekely’s best time before Santa Clara was a 4:46.73 from 2012, and the fastest she’d been since that summer was a 4:50.54 in 2015. She obliterated that, clocking a 4:41.10 to place 3rd in the final.

Texas’ Madisyn Cox isn’t really a darkhorse, since she’s one of the fastest swimmers in the nation in this event, but she’s become a major threat in the 200 breast after placing 34th in the event at Olympic Trials last summer. Cox is now in the conversation for a Worlds spot. She’s lowered her time from the 2:27-range down to a 2:25.62 this season. If she hits her taper, she could be battling for a roster spot in that race. In addition, she’s a likely candidate to represent the U.S. in both IM races, so we could see her make the team in 3 events.

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bobo gigi
6 years ago

Sorry, I forgot women’s breaststroke. 🙄

WOMEN
100 breast. Lilly King/Katie Meili
200 breast. Katie Meili/Lilly King. Level of confidence close to 0 like for women’s 200 back. 🙂

Prickle
Reply to  bobo gigi
6 years ago

Friendly advice.
If the level of confidence with your predictions is 30-40% then choose the opposite. That will improve your confidence to be 60-70% 🙂

ERVINFORTHEWIN
6 years ago

I mentioned Michael Jensen after his interesting 49. in the 100 free – He is surely gonna surprise soon or later . Usa is getting an amazing contingent of possible future sprinters .

ClubCoach
6 years ago

Time for SwimSwam to do an event-by-event analysis for Trials?

Reply to  ClubCoach
6 years ago
ClubCoach
Reply to  Jared Anderson
6 years ago

I missed that! Thanks!

Caleb
6 years ago

Where’s Townley Haas these days? Anyone know for sure if he’s racing this summer? Ditto Seliskar…

Kal goldin berrors
Reply to  Caleb
6 years ago

Seli=injured

bobo gigi
6 years ago

2nd version of my world trials’ predictions. With a high level of confidence close to 30 or 40% 🙂
Sorry for the 50s of stroke but

MEN
50 free. Caeleb Dressel/Nathan Adrian
100 free. Nathan Adrian/Caeleb Dressel plus Michael Chadwick/Blake Pieroni/Ryan Held/Dean Farris! for the relay
200 free. Townley Haas/Blake Pieroni plus Jack Conger/Gunnar Bentz/Conor Dwyer/Zane Grothe for the relay
400 free. Clark Smith/Townley Haas
800 free. Clark Smith/Zane Grothe
1500 free. Jordan Wilimovsky/
100 back. Ryan Murphy/Justin Ress
200 back. Ryan Murphy/Jacob Pebley
100 breast. Kevin Cordes/Andrew Wilson
200 breast. Josh Prenot/Kevin Cordes
100 fly. Caeleb Dressel/Tom Shields if Dressel swims that event. Tom Shields/Jack Conger… Read more »

bobo gigi
Reply to  bobo gigi
6 years ago

Sorry for the 50s of stroke but I’m not a fan.

korn
Reply to  bobo gigi
6 years ago

Not a fan of the 50’s either. Heard a rumor that Jordan wasn’t swimming doing the pool this summer. Agree with most of your picks but in most of the events, there are 3 people for 2 slots. Some events, like men’s 4im, are pretty much locked up by Chase and Jay.

ClubCoach
Reply to  korn
6 years ago

Jordan hasn’t swum any long course events this year according to the STARS database

Fritz Peterson
Reply to  bobo gigi
6 years ago

Building the drama for your women’s breaststroke picks??

Ledecky is now a sprinter
Reply to  bobo gigi
6 years ago

No smoliga bobo?

Hswimmer
Reply to  bobo gigi
6 years ago

Worrell had a great 50 free this weekend. I think she can challenge the second spot if she chooses to swim it. Also the 4×100

completelyconquered
Reply to  bobo gigi
6 years ago

Men’s 200 Breast will be Prenot & Licon.

Jackman
Reply to  bobo gigi
6 years ago

I just can’t see Farris making it.

Zanna
Reply to  Jackman
6 years ago

Yeah, why is Farris even in the contention of the 100 free?

ellie
Reply to  bobo gigi
6 years ago

Why no Cody Miller ? DQed?

About Lauren Neidigh

Lauren Neidigh

Lauren Neidigh is a former NCAA swimmer at the University of Arizona (2013-2015) and the University of Florida (2011-2013). While her college swimming career left a bit to be desired, her Snapchat chin selfies and hot takes on Twitter do not disappoint. She's also a high school graduate of The …

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