2016 Olympic Trials Previews: U.S. Stacked In Men’s 100 Back

Team USA has a dominant history at the Olympics in the backstroke events. With names like Jeff Rouse, Lenny Krayzelburg, Aaron Peirsol, and Matt Grevers, Team USA has won gold in the 100 backstroke at every Olympics since the 1996 games in Atlanta. At each of the last 2 Olympics, the USA has gone 1-2 in this event. Aaron Piersol and Matt Grevers accomplished that feat in 2008, before Grevers went on to win gold in 2012 ahead of his American teammate Nick Thoman, who won silver. With the threat of Australia’s Mitch Larkin looming, who will defend the USA’s position on top of the backstroke podium?

_Murphy_Ryan California Murphy Ryan Murphy-DO8T6252-

20-year-old Ryan Murphy enters Omaha as the fastest American since 2012, having scared Peirsol’s world record at the 2015 Worlds with a 52.18 on the mixed medley relay. This year, Murphy blazed to American Records in the 100 back (43.49) and 200 back (1:35.73) at NCAAs. At Canadian Olympic Trials shortly after, Murphy proved his 52 last summer was no fluke, posting a 52.54. Having swum at his first Worlds last summer and making the final in both backstrokes at 2012 Trials, Murphy enters the meet with competitive experience that he didn’t have last time around.

Anne Dunivin still going strong at 95 with Matt Grevers at the 2015 US Masters national championships in San Antonio (photo: Mike Lewis)

Anne Dunivin with Matt Grevers at 2015 US Masters nationals (photo: Mike Lewis)

Murphy’s swim ties him as the second fastest American this season with defending Olympic champion Matt Grevers, who swam a 52.54 to win U.S. Winter Nationals. Grevers narrowly missed Aaron Piersol’s world record at 2012 Trials and in London, clocking 52.08 and 52.16 at those meets, respectively. His 52.54 is the fastest he’s been since the London, and his upward trajectory this year bodes well for his capability to defend his title.

Swimming this event at 2015 Worlds for Team USA with Grevers was Minnesota-based David Plummer. He didn’t make the final in this event at that meet due to illness, but bounced back shortly afterwards at the FINA World Cup when he posted a 52.51 to become the fastest American this season. Plummer first broke onto the scene in 2010, when he pulled off an underdog win against a stacked field that included Grevers, Peirsol, and Thoman. Since then, he’s been a part of the 2011, 2013, and 2015 World Championship teams, winning his first individual World Championships medal with a silver in the 100 back in 2013. Plummer narrowly missed the Olympic team in 2012, falling just over a tenth short of 2nd place to Nick Thoman.

David Plummer takes the tilte in Mesa in the 100 backstroke (photo: Mike Lewis)

David Plummer takes the title in Mesa in the 100 backstroke (photo: Mike Lewis)

Thoman, who went on to win silver in London, made the move to Tucson, Arizona last year to train alongside Grevers. He swam a 53.20 to win 2015 Pan Ams, but he’s been noticeably absent from competition since August and has since left his training base in Tucson. It’s not likely that we’ll see Thoman compete at trials.

Eugene Godsoe joined Thoman on the Pan Ams podium with a bronze in the 100 back last summer. His 53.96 at that meet marked his first time under 54 seconds since 2013 Nationals. His personal best is a 53.61, which he swam when he placed 5th at 2012 Trials.

_Pebley_Jacob California Jacob Pebley Pebley-DO8T1445-

Murphy’s Cal teammate Jacob Pebley is the 4th fastest American this season. Pebley, a semifinalist in this race at 2012 Trials, represented the U.S. with a 4th place finish in this event at last summer’s WUGs. He also traveled to compete at Canadian Olympic Trials after NCAAs, where he swam a personal best 53.85 in the 100 back.

Following successful NCAA seasons, Luke Kaliszak, and Taylor Dale will look to carry their improvements into the long course season. Kaliszak tied Thoman for silver at 2015 U.S. Nationals with a personal best 54.23, dropping 5 seconds from his 59.44 prior to 2015. Dale also swam a best time there to take 4th in 54.44, improving over a second from his previous best 55.98.

Michael Taylor competed in this event at 2015 Junior Worlds, and will look to make a splash at the senior national level this summer. Taylor came away from that meet with a silver medal and a time of 54.62 seconds. Not far behind him in that race was teammate Michael Andrew, who clocked a 54.74. Andrew has often swum heavy event schedules, which took its toll on him at Junior Worlds. If this event is one of his focuses at Trials, we could see him in the final.

Men’s 100 Back Top 8 Predictions:

Place Name Best Since London Predicted Time Training Base
1 Ryan Murphy 52.18 52.0. University of California, Berkeley
2 Matt Grevers 52.54 52.2 University of Arizona, Tucson
3 David Plummer 52.51 52.4 University of Minnesota, Minneapolis
4 Jacob Pebley 53.89 53.3 University of California, Berkeley
5 Luke Kaliszak 54.23 53.7 University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa
6 Eugene Godsoe 53.96 53.9 Stanford University, Palo Alto
7 Taylor Dale 54.44 53.9 University of Georgia, Athens
8 Michael Taylor 54.62 54.2 Dynamo Swim Club, Atlanta


Darkhorse:
At 2012 trials, David Nolan closely missed semis with a 55.59 for 19th. Nolan is an NCAA champion in the 100 back, but hasn’t had the same success in long course, where his best is a 55.07. After finishing his NCAA career at Stanford, Nolan made the move to Tempe to train with Michael Phelps. With a complete focus on long course, we could see Nolan break out this summer. So far, he’s been within a second of his best with a 56.05 at Austin Pro Swim.

FIND LINKS TO ALL OF OUR U.S. OLYMPIC TRIALS PREVIEWS HERE

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OldMNGopher
7 years ago

Plummer 52.4 in Indy! Way to go Dave!

Swimmer
7 years ago

Just to make myself feel better after NCAAs I would love to see Murphy win gold and blow awaythe word record lol

Pkok
7 years ago

Murphy for the win and Plummer in 2nd. Count it!

Reply to  Pkok
7 years ago

Glad to see someone picking Plummer! He’s my pick to make the team as well

SKIUMAH
Reply to  Jared Anderson
7 years ago

Plummer has small but loyal fan base. It would be amazing to see him do it.

pkok
Reply to  SKIUMAH
7 years ago

I see we are all MN based haha!

bobo gigi
7 years ago

Lauren is biased. I believe she was at Bolles with Mr Murphy. 🙂

More seriously, I think that Ryan Murphy can break the world record next summer. No doubt about that.
But times will not count next summer. It’s a fight at trials and at olympic games. Only the places count.
The question is: can he do it when it counts the most, in the olympic final?
I still have to see him at his best when he has to fight in the last 25 under much pressure. So far he struggles to keep his composure and his technique in these conditions. However, when he swims relaxed well ahead, he can produce very fast times. His 52.18… Read more »

Lauren Neidigh
Reply to  bobo gigi
7 years ago

Bobo- not biased. I was at Arizona with Grevers too. I just know he’s that good!

Tea Rex
7 years ago

2012 trials: Plummer 52.98, Hesen 53.03
2016 games: Irie 52.97 bronze

Not quite as stacked this year????. Murphy and Grevers appear in the drivers seat, with Plummer as the spoiler.
I would be SHOCKED if anyone other than those three made it. Too bad about Thoman but there are reasons most swimmers don’t compete into their 30s

Joel Lin
7 years ago

I hate this event at US Trials. Every time there are 4-5 of the best 8 in the world in the event and only 2 can go. Of all the heartbreaks at US Trials, the men’s 100 back is reliably at or near the top. I won’t even watch it.

I am pulling for all these guys and will feel far more terribly for the ones who don’t make it than the happy side for the two lucky ones who will. The Meet of Tears.

Rafael
Reply to  Joel Lin
7 years ago

4-5 is a bit of a strecht right now… It is the deepest event by far on US men side (100 Fly is strong, but with the sub-51 guys the things change a little) but not 4-5
Top 10 of The World right now by Country: 3 US, 2 RUS, 1 AUS, 1 GBR, 1 CHN, 1 JPN, 1 FRA, if we go to top 15, we would have 1 BRA, 1 more GBR,1 RSA, 1 more JPN and at 15 Thoman (who is retired)

Displaced Wolverine
Reply to  Rafael
7 years ago

But this is before the US OT’s whilst all other nations have had their big taper meet (excluding the Olympics of course). Would you be shocked if one or two more get into that top 8 range? I for one, would not.

Crawler
7 years ago

With Zika and security concerns, I think that Rio will favor veterans.

Uberfan
7 years ago

I feel like people forget grevers broke a world record I think he wins trials but gets silver behind Ryan in rio

Person
Reply to  Uberfan
7 years ago

You think that can both beat Larkin in Rio? I’m not saying they can’t, but it will be really close.

About Lauren Neidigh

Lauren Neidigh

Lauren Neidigh is a former NCAA swimmer at the University of Arizona (2013-2015) and the University of Florida (2011-2013). While her college swimming career left a bit to be desired, her Snapchat chin selfies and hot takes on Twitter do not disappoint. She's also a high school graduate of The …

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